Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat based on consistent voting patterns and demographic makeup in the Knoxville area. The party's strong position reflects the incumbent's established base, limited Democratic recruitment, and historical margins that have exceeded 20 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices in these structural advantages ahead of the 2026 midterms. A realistic shift toward the Democratic nominee would require a major candidate-specific development such as an ethics issue or withdrawal, combined with an unusually strong national environment favoring the opposition party. Absent those factors, the current implied probability aligns with the district's long-term partisan lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,042 交易量
$28,042 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$28,042 交易量
$28,042 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$19,235 交易量
94%
民主党
$8,807 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat based on consistent voting patterns and demographic makeup in the Knoxville area. The party's strong position reflects the incumbent's established base, limited Democratic recruitment, and historical margins that have exceeded 20 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices in these structural advantages ahead of the 2026 midterms. A realistic shift toward the Democratic nominee would require a major candidate-specific development such as an ethics issue or withdrawal, combined with an unusually strong national environment favoring the opposition party. Absent those factors, the current implied probability aligns with the district's long-term partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$28,042结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat based on consistent voting patterns and demographic makeup in the Knoxville area. The party's strong position reflects the incumbent's established base, limited Democratic recruitment, and historical margins that have exceeded 20 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices in these structural advantages ahead of the 2026 midterms. A realistic shift toward the Democratic nominee would require a major candidate-specific development such as an ethics issue or withdrawal, combined with an unusually strong national environment favoring the opposition party. Absent those factors, the current implied probability aligns with the district's long-term partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,042结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat based on consistent voting patterns and demographic makeup in the Knoxville area. The party's strong position reflects the incumbent's established base, limited Democratic recruitment, and historical margins that have exceeded 20 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus prices in these structural advantages ahead of the 2026 midterms. A realistic shift toward the Democratic nominee would require a major candidate-specific development such as an ethics issue or withdrawal, combined with an unusually strong national environment favoring the opposition party. Absent those factors, the current implied probability aligns with the district's long-term partisan lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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