Tennessee's 6th congressional district features a strongly Republican partisan voting index and consistent history of large GOP margins in federal contests. The open seat, created by incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with state Representative Johnny Garrett securing the nomination on August 6, 2026. Forecasters rate the general election Solid R or Safe R, reflecting the district's suburban and rural makeup east of Nashville. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects this structural advantage plus Garrett's primary victory over former Representative Van Hilleary. Democratic nominee Mike Croley faces steep structural barriers to competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political realignment, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,393 交易量
$12,393 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$12,393 交易量
$12,393 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,446 交易量
94%
民主党
$3,947 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district features a strongly Republican partisan voting index and consistent history of large GOP margins in federal contests. The open seat, created by incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with state Representative Johnny Garrett securing the nomination on August 6, 2026. Forecasters rate the general election Solid R or Safe R, reflecting the district's suburban and rural makeup east of Nashville. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects this structural advantage plus Garrett's primary victory over former Representative Van Hilleary. Democratic nominee Mike Croley faces steep structural barriers to competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political realignment, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$12,393结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district features a strongly Republican partisan voting index and consistent history of large GOP margins in federal contests. The open seat, created by incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with state Representative Johnny Garrett securing the nomination on August 6, 2026. Forecasters rate the general election Solid R or Safe R, reflecting the district's suburban and rural makeup east of Nashville. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects this structural advantage plus Garrett's primary victory over former Representative Van Hilleary. Democratic nominee Mike Croley faces steep structural barriers to competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political realignment, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,393结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district features a strongly Republican partisan voting index and consistent history of large GOP margins in federal contests. The open seat, created by incumbent John Rose's gubernatorial bid, drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with state Representative Johnny Garrett securing the nomination on August 6, 2026. Forecasters rate the general election Solid R or Safe R, reflecting the district's suburban and rural makeup east of Nashville. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican reflects this structural advantage plus Garrett's primary victory over former Representative Van Hilleary. Democratic nominee Mike Croley faces steep structural barriers to competitiveness. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political realignment, or unusually depressed Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability events before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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