Redistricting approved in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th congressional district, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and aligning it with areas that supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the reconfigured district. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with former President Trump's endorsement and fundraising advantages, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson won his party's contest. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican general-election outcome on November 3, though the result remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics and any late-cycle developments in the Memphis-to-Nashville suburbs now included in the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,175 交易量
$33,175 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
$33,175 交易量
$33,175 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$19,961 交易量
84%
民主党
$13,214 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th congressional district, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and aligning it with areas that supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the reconfigured district. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with former President Trump's endorsement and fundraising advantages, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson won his party's contest. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican general-election outcome on November 3, though the result remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics and any late-cycle developments in the Memphis-to-Nashville suburbs now included in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$33,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th congressional district, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and aligning it with areas that supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the reconfigured district. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with former President Trump's endorsement and fundraising advantages, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson won his party's contest. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican general-election outcome on November 3, though the result remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics and any late-cycle developments in the Memphis-to-Nashville suburbs now included in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th congressional district, shifting its Cook Partisan Voting Index to R+9 and aligning it with areas that supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection in the reconfigured district. Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor secured his party's nomination in the August 6 primary with former President Trump's endorsement and fundraising advantages, while Democratic state Rep. Justin Pearson won his party's contest. These factors have produced trader consensus around a Republican general-election outcome on November 3, though the result remains subject to standard midterm turnout dynamics and any late-cycle developments in the Memphis-to-Nashville suburbs now included in the district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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