Redistricting passed by Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature in May 2026 fundamentally altered the district's composition, removing the Memphis core that had produced consistent Democratic majorities and extending the boundaries into suburban and rural areas that favored Donald Trump by roughly 21 points in the prior cycle. The change converted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold—previously represented by retiring incumbent Steve Cohen—into one with an estimated Republican lean of R+9. Both parties completed primaries on August 6, nominating state Sen. Brent Taylor on the Republican side and state Rep. Justin Pearson on the Democratic side; Taylor received an endorsement from Trump while Pearson prevailed over candidates backed by the outgoing incumbent. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3 general election as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the new partisan makeup, though the race remains on the ballot and subject to turnout dynamics in the expanded electorate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,175 交易量
$33,175 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
$33,175 交易量
$33,175 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$19,961 交易量
84%
民主党
$13,214 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting passed by Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature in May 2026 fundamentally altered the district's composition, removing the Memphis core that had produced consistent Democratic majorities and extending the boundaries into suburban and rural areas that favored Donald Trump by roughly 21 points in the prior cycle. The change converted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold—previously represented by retiring incumbent Steve Cohen—into one with an estimated Republican lean of R+9. Both parties completed primaries on August 6, nominating state Sen. Brent Taylor on the Republican side and state Rep. Justin Pearson on the Democratic side; Taylor received an endorsement from Trump while Pearson prevailed over candidates backed by the outgoing incumbent. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3 general election as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the new partisan makeup, though the race remains on the ballot and subject to turnout dynamics in the expanded electorate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$33,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting passed by Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature in May 2026 fundamentally altered the district's composition, removing the Memphis core that had produced consistent Democratic majorities and extending the boundaries into suburban and rural areas that favored Donald Trump by roughly 21 points in the prior cycle. The change converted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold—previously represented by retiring incumbent Steve Cohen—into one with an estimated Republican lean of R+9. Both parties completed primaries on August 6, nominating state Sen. Brent Taylor on the Republican side and state Rep. Justin Pearson on the Democratic side; Taylor received an endorsement from Trump while Pearson prevailed over candidates backed by the outgoing incumbent. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3 general election as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the new partisan makeup, though the race remains on the ballot and subject to turnout dynamics in the expanded electorate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting passed by Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature in May 2026 fundamentally altered the district's composition, removing the Memphis core that had produced consistent Democratic majorities and extending the boundaries into suburban and rural areas that favored Donald Trump by roughly 21 points in the prior cycle. The change converted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold—previously represented by retiring incumbent Steve Cohen—into one with an estimated Republican lean of R+9. Both parties completed primaries on August 6, nominating state Sen. Brent Taylor on the Republican side and state Rep. Justin Pearson on the Democratic side; Taylor received an endorsement from Trump while Pearson prevailed over candidates backed by the outgoing incumbent. Cook Political Report and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3 general election as Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the new partisan makeup, though the race remains on the ballot and subject to turnout dynamics in the expanded electorate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题