Rep. Thomas Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to depression treatment and hospitalization that caused him to miss over 140 votes. He has since resumed official duties, issued multiple district announcements in August, and advanced through the June GOP primary unopposed for the November 2026 general election against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. His current term runs until January 3, 2027, with no public statements, party pressure, health updates, or ethics developments indicating an early exit. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 66% reflects the absence of resignation signals or structural barriers that would normally shift odds in a competitive swing district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
34% 概率
最新
最新
2027-01-03
是
34% 概率
最新
最新
2027-01-03
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Thomas Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to depression treatment and hospitalization that caused him to miss over 140 votes. He has since resumed official duties, issued multiple district announcements in August, and advanced through the June GOP primary unopposed for the November 2026 general election against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. His current term runs until January 3, 2027, with no public statements, party pressure, health updates, or ethics developments indicating an early exit. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 66% reflects the absence of resignation signals or structural barriers that would normally shift odds in a competitive swing district.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
交易量
$69结束日期
2027-01-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Thomas Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to depression treatment and hospitalization that caused him to miss over 140 votes. He has since resumed official duties, issued multiple district announcements in August, and advanced through the June GOP primary unopposed for the November 2026 general election against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. His current term runs until January 3, 2027, with no public statements, party pressure, health updates, or ethics developments indicating an early exit. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 66% reflects the absence of resignation signals or structural barriers that would normally shift odds in a competitive swing district.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$69结束日期
2027-01-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rep. Thomas Kean Jr. (R-NJ-07) returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence tied to depression treatment and hospitalization that caused him to miss over 140 votes. He has since resumed official duties, issued multiple district announcements in August, and advanced through the June GOP primary unopposed for the November 2026 general election against Democrat Rebecca Bennett. His current term runs until January 3, 2027, with no public statements, party pressure, health updates, or ethics developments indicating an early exit. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 66% reflects the absence of resignation signals or structural barriers that would normally shift odds in a competitive swing district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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