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icon for Tom Kean Jr.在学期结束前卸任美国代表?

Tom Kean Jr.在学期结束前卸任美国代表?

icon for Tom Kean Jr.在学期结束前卸任美国代表?

Tom Kean Jr.在学期结束前卸任美国代表?

35% 概率
Polymarket
最新

35% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a four-month absence attributed to depression treatment and hospitalization, during which he missed over 140 votes. Since resuming duties, he has participated in floor votes and district events, with his office confirming his commitment to completing the term through January 2027. He is actively campaigning for reelection in New Jersey’s 7th district against Democrat Rebecca Bennett, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and no primary opposition. No subsequent announcements of resignation, health setbacks, or plans to depart early have emerged, supporting trader consensus that he will serve out the remainder of his term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$69
结束日期
2027-01-03
市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a four-month absence attributed to depression treatment and hospitalization, during which he missed over 140 votes. Since resuming duties, he has participated in floor votes and district events, with his office confirming his commitment to completing the term through January 2027. He is actively campaigning for reelection in New Jersey’s 7th district against Democrat Rebecca Bennett, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and no primary opposition. No subsequent announcements of resignation, health setbacks, or plans to depart early have emerged, supporting trader consensus that he will serve out the remainder of his term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$69
结束日期
2027-01-03
市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Tom Kean Jr.在学期结束前卸任美国代表?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"汤姆·基恩 Jr. 是否会在任期结束前卸任美国众议员?",概率为 35%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 35¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 35%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Tom Kean Jr.在学期结束前卸任美国代表?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 1, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Tom Kean Jr.在学期结束前卸任美国代表?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Tom Kean Jr.在学期结束前卸任美国代表?"的当前领先者是"汤姆·基恩 Jr. 是否会在任期结束前卸任美国众议员?",概率为 35%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 35%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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