Iran’s government has repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions during periods of unrest, most notably a prolonged near-total shutdown from January through late May 2026 amid anti-government protests and subsequent U.S.-Israeli military actions. Connectivity was partially restored afterward but remains heavily filtered, with slow speeds, blocked platforms, and a tiered “Internet Pro” system favoring approved users. Recent September 2026 reports highlight ongoing protests, a fresh communications blackout, and Iran’s near-completion of a Huawei-supported national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure costing hundreds of millions, designed to enable indefinite isolation from the global internet while maintaining domestic services. These capabilities, managed under the Supreme National Security Council, increase the technical feasibility of future total blackouts in response to security threats or demonstrations, though economic costs and international pressure remain countervailing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$249,302 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
1%
12月31日
22%
$249,302 交易量
9月30日
$7,061 交易量
1%
12月31日
$12,790 交易量
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s government has repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions during periods of unrest, most notably a prolonged near-total shutdown from January through late May 2026 amid anti-government protests and subsequent U.S.-Israeli military actions. Connectivity was partially restored afterward but remains heavily filtered, with slow speeds, blocked platforms, and a tiered “Internet Pro” system favoring approved users. Recent September 2026 reports highlight ongoing protests, a fresh communications blackout, and Iran’s near-completion of a Huawei-supported national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure costing hundreds of millions, designed to enable indefinite isolation from the global internet while maintaining domestic services. These capabilities, managed under the Supreme National Security Council, increase the technical feasibility of future total blackouts in response to security threats or demonstrations, though economic costs and international pressure remain countervailing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$249,302结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s government has repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions during periods of unrest, most notably a prolonged near-total shutdown from January through late May 2026 amid anti-government protests and subsequent U.S.-Israeli military actions. Connectivity was partially restored afterward but remains heavily filtered, with slow speeds, blocked platforms, and a tiered “Internet Pro” system favoring approved users. Recent September 2026 reports highlight ongoing protests, a fresh communications blackout, and Iran’s near-completion of a Huawei-supported national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure costing hundreds of millions, designed to enable indefinite isolation from the global internet while maintaining domestic services. These capabilities, managed under the Supreme National Security Council, increase the technical feasibility of future total blackouts in response to security threats or demonstrations, though economic costs and international pressure remain countervailing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$249,302结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETIran’s government has repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions during periods of unrest, most notably a prolonged near-total shutdown from January through late May 2026 amid anti-government protests and subsequent U.S.-Israeli military actions. Connectivity was partially restored afterward but remains heavily filtered, with slow speeds, blocked platforms, and a tiered “Internet Pro” system favoring approved users. Recent September 2026 reports highlight ongoing protests, a fresh communications blackout, and Iran’s near-completion of a Huawei-supported national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure costing hundreds of millions, designed to enable indefinite isolation from the global internet while maintaining domestic services. These capabilities, managed under the Supreme National Security Council, increase the technical feasibility of future total blackouts in response to security threats or demonstrations, though economic costs and international pressure remain countervailing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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