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icon for 特伦钦州州长选举获胜者

特伦钦州州长选举获胜者

icon for 特伦钦州州长选举获胜者

特伦钦州州长选举获胜者

Polymarket
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Polymarket
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icon for 雅罗斯拉夫·巴什卡

雅罗斯拉夫·巴什卡

$754 交易量

97%

icon for 纳塔莉亚·斯维特科娃

纳塔莉亚·斯维特科娃

$244 交易量

3%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Jaroslav Baška maintains a commanding position in the October 24, 2026, Trenčín Region gubernatorial election due to his incumbency since 2013, strong performance with roughly 67 percent in 2022, and a broad pre-election coalition that includes Smer-SD, Hlas-SD, SNS, and Republika. This alliance enables a joint slate for the regional council and draws on the area's traditional support base in Považie and upper Nitra. Baška's pragmatic approach, emphasis on infrastructure and EU-funded projects, and grassroots "Tour de Baška" campaign visiting all 276 municipalities reinforce trader consensus around his lead. The unified opposition backing Natália Svítková has not shifted the implied probability in recent reporting, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals could still alter outcomes before election day.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
交易量
$998
结束日期
2026-10-24
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 1:50 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).Jaroslav Baška maintains a commanding position in the October 24, 2026, Trenčín Region gubernatorial election due to his incumbency since 2013, strong performance with roughly 67 percent in 2022, and a broad pre-election coalition that includes Smer-SD, Hlas-SD, SNS, and Republika. This alliance enables a joint slate for the regional council and draws on the area's traditional support base in Považie and upper Nitra. Baška's pragmatic approach, emphasis on infrastructure and EU-funded projects, and grassroots "Tour de Baška" campaign visiting all 276 municipalities reinforce trader consensus around his lead. The unified opposition backing Natália Svítková has not shifted the implied probability in recent reporting, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals could still alter outcomes before election day.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
交易量
$998
结束日期
2026-10-24
市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 1:50 PM ET

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"特伦钦州州长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"雅罗斯拉夫·巴什卡",概率为 97%,其次是"纳塔莉亚·斯维特科娃",概率为 3%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 97¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 97%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"特伦钦州州长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 31, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"特伦钦州州长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特伦钦州州长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"雅罗斯拉夫·巴什卡",概率为 97%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 97%。紧随其后的结果是"纳塔莉亚·斯维特科娃",概率为 3%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特伦钦州州长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。