SpaceX is advancing Starship toward in-orbit rendezvous and docking through iterative V3 test flights, with Flight 14 (targeted for mid-to-late September 2026) marking the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit insertion, Starlink V3 deployment, and deorbit burns using Ship 41 and Booster 21. This builds directly on Flight 13’s successful July 2026 orbital trajectory, payload release, and soft splashdown, positioning the program for propellant transfer demonstrations that require two Starships—one tanker and one chaser—to rendezvous, dock via automated couplers, and transfer methane and liquid oxygen. These milestones align with NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System needs for multiple rapid refuelings ahead of 2027 docking tests with Orion. Tower catch rehearsals for the upper stage and ongoing pad infrastructure work at Starbase further support the rapid reuse cadence essential for such complex operations, though precise automated docking remains untested on Starship hardware.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$70,283 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年12月31日
3%
2027年12月31日
47%
$70,283 交易量
2026年12月31日
$46,234 交易量
3%
2027年12月31日
$24,049 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX is advancing Starship toward in-orbit rendezvous and docking through iterative V3 test flights, with Flight 14 (targeted for mid-to-late September 2026) marking the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit insertion, Starlink V3 deployment, and deorbit burns using Ship 41 and Booster 21. This builds directly on Flight 13’s successful July 2026 orbital trajectory, payload release, and soft splashdown, positioning the program for propellant transfer demonstrations that require two Starships—one tanker and one chaser—to rendezvous, dock via automated couplers, and transfer methane and liquid oxygen. These milestones align with NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System needs for multiple rapid refuelings ahead of 2027 docking tests with Orion. Tower catch rehearsals for the upper stage and ongoing pad infrastructure work at Starbase further support the rapid reuse cadence essential for such complex operations, though precise automated docking remains untested on Starship hardware.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
交易量
$70,283结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX is advancing Starship toward in-orbit rendezvous and docking through iterative V3 test flights, with Flight 14 (targeted for mid-to-late September 2026) marking the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit insertion, Starlink V3 deployment, and deorbit burns using Ship 41 and Booster 21. This builds directly on Flight 13’s successful July 2026 orbital trajectory, payload release, and soft splashdown, positioning the program for propellant transfer demonstrations that require two Starships—one tanker and one chaser—to rendezvous, dock via automated couplers, and transfer methane and liquid oxygen. These milestones align with NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System needs for multiple rapid refuelings ahead of 2027 docking tests with Orion. Tower catch rehearsals for the upper stage and ongoing pad infrastructure work at Starbase further support the rapid reuse cadence essential for such complex operations, though precise automated docking remains untested on Starship hardware.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$70,283结束日期
2028-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETSpaceX is advancing Starship toward in-orbit rendezvous and docking through iterative V3 test flights, with Flight 14 (targeted for mid-to-late September 2026) marking the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit insertion, Starlink V3 deployment, and deorbit burns using Ship 41 and Booster 21. This builds directly on Flight 13’s successful July 2026 orbital trajectory, payload release, and soft splashdown, positioning the program for propellant transfer demonstrations that require two Starships—one tanker and one chaser—to rendezvous, dock via automated couplers, and transfer methane and liquid oxygen. These milestones align with NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System needs for multiple rapid refuelings ahead of 2027 docking tests with Orion. Tower catch rehearsals for the upper stage and ongoing pad infrastructure work at Starbase further support the rapid reuse cadence essential for such complex operations, though precise automated docking remains untested on Starship hardware.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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