Texas's 38th congressional district, covering affluent west Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County, carries a strong Republican lean of roughly R+21 based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Wesley Hunt vacated the seat to pursue a Senate bid, leaving an open race that drew a crowded Republican primary. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory and holds a commanding fundraising edge, while Democrat Melissa McDonough emerged from her party's primary with far less support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors, including consistent Republican performance in the district and limited Democratic resources, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a wide margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,301 交易量
$24,301 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
89%
民主党
12%
$24,301 交易量
$24,301 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$16,430 交易量
89%
民主党
$7,871 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district, covering affluent west Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County, carries a strong Republican lean of roughly R+21 based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Wesley Hunt vacated the seat to pursue a Senate bid, leaving an open race that drew a crowded Republican primary. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory and holds a commanding fundraising edge, while Democrat Melissa McDonough emerged from her party's primary with far less support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors, including consistent Republican performance in the district and limited Democratic resources, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a wide margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$24,301结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district, covering affluent west Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County, carries a strong Republican lean of roughly R+21 based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Wesley Hunt vacated the seat to pursue a Senate bid, leaving an open race that drew a crowded Republican primary. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory and holds a commanding fundraising edge, while Democrat Melissa McDonough emerged from her party's primary with far less support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors, including consistent Republican performance in the district and limited Democratic resources, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a wide margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,301结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th congressional district, covering affluent west Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County, carries a strong Republican lean of roughly R+21 based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Wesley Hunt vacated the seat to pursue a Senate bid, leaving an open race that drew a crowded Republican primary. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory and holds a commanding fundraising edge, while Democrat Melissa McDonough emerged from her party's primary with far less support. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors, including consistent Republican performance in the district and limited Democratic resources, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a wide margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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