No legislative proposals or national emergency declarations have advanced toward authorizing a military draft in 2026, sustaining the all-volunteer force structure established decades ago. The Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act focused on automating Selective Service registration data starting in December rather than enabling conscription, with no congressional action to amend the Military Selective Service Act for inductions. Trader consensus reflects the high procedural barriers, including the need for specific legislation during a crisis exceeding volunteer recruitment capacity, alongside limited public or bipartisan support for reinstating the draft absent major escalations. Late-breaking developments such as a large-scale conflict requiring rapid force expansion could still shift assessments before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
5% 概率
$521,268 交易量
$521,268 交易量
2026-12-31
是
5% 概率
$521,268 交易量
$521,268 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No legislative proposals or national emergency declarations have advanced toward authorizing a military draft in 2026, sustaining the all-volunteer force structure established decades ago. The Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act focused on automating Selective Service registration data starting in December rather than enabling conscription, with no congressional action to amend the Military Selective Service Act for inductions. Trader consensus reflects the high procedural barriers, including the need for specific legislation during a crisis exceeding volunteer recruitment capacity, alongside limited public or bipartisan support for reinstating the draft absent major escalations. Late-breaking developments such as a large-scale conflict requiring rapid force expansion could still shift assessments before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
交易量
$521,268结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No legislative proposals or national emergency declarations have advanced toward authorizing a military draft in 2026, sustaining the all-volunteer force structure established decades ago. The Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act focused on automating Selective Service registration data starting in December rather than enabling conscription, with no congressional action to amend the Military Selective Service Act for inductions. Trader consensus reflects the high procedural barriers, including the need for specific legislation during a crisis exceeding volunteer recruitment capacity, alongside limited public or bipartisan support for reinstating the draft absent major escalations. Late-breaking developments such as a large-scale conflict requiring rapid force expansion could still shift assessments before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$521,268结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No legislative proposals or national emergency declarations have advanced toward authorizing a military draft in 2026, sustaining the all-volunteer force structure established decades ago. The Fiscal Year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act focused on automating Selective Service registration data starting in December rather than enabling conscription, with no congressional action to amend the Military Selective Service Act for inductions. Trader consensus reflects the high procedural barriers, including the need for specific legislation during a crisis exceeding volunteer recruitment capacity, alongside limited public or bipartisan support for reinstating the draft absent major escalations. Late-breaking developments such as a large-scale conflict requiring rapid force expansion could still shift assessments before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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