US-Iran nuclear negotiations under the Trump administration center on limiting Iran's program and addressing its stockpile of roughly 440 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 percent. US officials have prioritized removal of the material, with proposals including on-site destruction followed by transfer out of Iran or direct shipment to the United States, alongside demands to dismantle key facilities. Iran has resisted physical export, favoring in-country downblending or dilution under IAEA oversight. Talks in Oman and Geneva have produced incremental progress on inspections but stalled on stockpile terms, amid prior US-Israeli strikes on nuclear sites and ongoing military contingency planning for potential seizure scenarios. Resolution hinges on a final agreement's verification and logistics within the market's timeframe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,104,736 交易量
August 31
1%
9月30日
2%
12月31日
8%
$29,104,736 交易量
August 31
1%
9月30日
2%
12月31日
8%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 29, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran nuclear negotiations under the Trump administration center on limiting Iran's program and addressing its stockpile of roughly 440 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 percent. US officials have prioritized removal of the material, with proposals including on-site destruction followed by transfer out of Iran or direct shipment to the United States, alongside demands to dismantle key facilities. Iran has resisted physical export, favoring in-country downblending or dilution under IAEA oversight. Talks in Oman and Geneva have produced incremental progress on inspections but stalled on stockpile terms, amid prior US-Israeli strikes on nuclear sites and ongoing military contingency planning for potential seizure scenarios. Resolution hinges on a final agreement's verification and logistics within the market's timeframe.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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