U.S. policy under the current administration prioritizes a phased approach of stabilization and economic recovery in Venezuela before any full democratic transition, with officials continuing to engage acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro. President Trump has repeatedly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and suitability to lead, directing focus instead toward Edmundo González, whom the United States recognized as the legitimate 2024 election winner. Recent diplomatic contacts between Machado and U.S. leaders, including a White House meeting and her Nobel Peace Prize presentation, produced no shift in this stance, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized sequential steps rather than immediate recognition of opposition figures. Traders see these signals, combined with ongoing security concerns delaying Machado's return and the absence of any formal endorsement or diplomatic upgrade for her by mid-2026, as strong evidence against U.S. acknowledgment of her as Venezuela's leader before the December 31 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. policy under the current administration prioritizes a phased approach of stabilization and economic recovery in Venezuela before any full democratic transition, with officials continuing to engage acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro. President Trump has repeatedly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and suitability to lead, directing focus instead toward Edmundo González, whom the United States recognized as the legitimate 2024 election winner. Recent diplomatic contacts between Machado and U.S. leaders, including a White House meeting and her Nobel Peace Prize presentation, produced no shift in this stance, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized sequential steps rather than immediate recognition of opposition figures. Traders see these signals, combined with ongoing security concerns delaying Machado's return and the absence of any formal endorsement or diplomatic upgrade for her by mid-2026, as strong evidence against U.S. acknowledgment of her as Venezuela's leader before the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
交易量
$3,882结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. policy under the current administration prioritizes a phased approach of stabilization and economic recovery in Venezuela before any full democratic transition, with officials continuing to engage acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro. President Trump has repeatedly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and suitability to lead, directing focus instead toward Edmundo González, whom the United States recognized as the legitimate 2024 election winner. Recent diplomatic contacts between Machado and U.S. leaders, including a White House meeting and her Nobel Peace Prize presentation, produced no shift in this stance, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized sequential steps rather than immediate recognition of opposition figures. Traders see these signals, combined with ongoing security concerns delaying Machado's return and the absence of any formal endorsement or diplomatic upgrade for her by mid-2026, as strong evidence against U.S. acknowledgment of her as Venezuela's leader before the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$3,882结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. policy under the current administration prioritizes a phased approach of stabilization and economic recovery in Venezuela before any full democratic transition, with officials continuing to engage acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro. President Trump has repeatedly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and suitability to lead, directing focus instead toward Edmundo González, whom the United States recognized as the legitimate 2024 election winner. Recent diplomatic contacts between Machado and U.S. leaders, including a White House meeting and her Nobel Peace Prize presentation, produced no shift in this stance, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized sequential steps rather than immediate recognition of opposition figures. Traders see these signals, combined with ongoing security concerns delaying Machado's return and the absence of any formal endorsement or diplomatic upgrade for her by mid-2026, as strong evidence against U.S. acknowledgment of her as Venezuela's leader before the December 31 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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