US-Panama diplomatic engagement and sovereignty protections continue to anchor trader expectations against any transfer of canal control by the end of 2026. President Trump’s repeated calls since 2025 to counter alleged Chinese influence through security cooperation, official visits, and support for Panamanian court rulings limiting foreign port operators have produced incremental access gains without altering ownership under the 1977 treaties. Panama has consistently rejected cession talks while advancing joint measures on neutrality and migration. With months remaining and no congressional authorization or operational planning for forcible acquisition evident, market pricing reflects these institutional and diplomatic constraints. Late developments such as an unforeseen bilateral agreement, major security crisis, or executive action overriding existing limits remain the narrow pathways that could still shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
4% 概率
$165,873 交易量
$165,873 交易量
2026-12-31
是
4% 概率
$165,873 交易量
$165,873 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.US-Panama diplomatic engagement and sovereignty protections continue to anchor trader expectations against any transfer of canal control by the end of 2026. President Trump’s repeated calls since 2025 to counter alleged Chinese influence through security cooperation, official visits, and support for Panamanian court rulings limiting foreign port operators have produced incremental access gains without altering ownership under the 1977 treaties. Panama has consistently rejected cession talks while advancing joint measures on neutrality and migration. With months remaining and no congressional authorization or operational planning for forcible acquisition evident, market pricing reflects these institutional and diplomatic constraints. Late developments such as an unforeseen bilateral agreement, major security crisis, or executive action overriding existing limits remain the narrow pathways that could still shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
交易量
$165,873结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.US-Panama diplomatic engagement and sovereignty protections continue to anchor trader expectations against any transfer of canal control by the end of 2026. President Trump’s repeated calls since 2025 to counter alleged Chinese influence through security cooperation, official visits, and support for Panamanian court rulings limiting foreign port operators have produced incremental access gains without altering ownership under the 1977 treaties. Panama has consistently rejected cession talks while advancing joint measures on neutrality and migration. With months remaining and no congressional authorization or operational planning for forcible acquisition evident, market pricing reflects these institutional and diplomatic constraints. Late developments such as an unforeseen bilateral agreement, major security crisis, or executive action overriding existing limits remain the narrow pathways that could still shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$165,873结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Panama diplomatic engagement and sovereignty protections continue to anchor trader expectations against any transfer of canal control by the end of 2026. President Trump’s repeated calls since 2025 to counter alleged Chinese influence through security cooperation, official visits, and support for Panamanian court rulings limiting foreign port operators have produced incremental access gains without altering ownership under the 1977 treaties. Panama has consistently rejected cession talks while advancing joint measures on neutrality and migration. With months remaining and no congressional authorization or operational planning for forcible acquisition evident, market pricing reflects these institutional and diplomatic constraints. Late developments such as an unforeseen bilateral agreement, major security crisis, or executive action overriding existing limits remain the narrow pathways that could still shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题