The crowded field of declared candidates for Vancouver’s October 2026 municipal election has kept the race competitive, with Kareem Allam holding a modest lead in trader consensus over incumbent Ken Sim. Allam, Sim’s former chief of staff now running under the Vancouver Liberals banner, benefits from name recognition and a direct challenge narrative, while Sim’s re-election bid draws on his record as mayor since 2022. Multiple progressive and independent contenders—including Pete Fry for the Greens, William Azaroff for OneCity, Rebecca Bligh for Vote Vancouver, and Colleen Hardwick for TEAM—have recently secured nominations without any agreement on consolidation, raising the prospect of vote splitting that could narrow margins on election night. Upcoming party conventions and potential late endorsements remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift positioning ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡里姆·阿拉姆 42%
肯·沈 34%
皮特·弗莱 15.3%
威廉·阿扎罗夫 5.2%
$67,306 交易量
$67,306 交易量

卡里姆·阿拉姆
42%

肯·沈
34%

皮特·弗莱
15%

威廉·阿扎罗夫
5%

约翰·库帕
2%

科琳·哈德威克
1%

丽贝卡·布莱
1%

肖恩·奥尔
1%

蒂姆·路易斯
<1%

阿曼达·伯罗斯
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%

弗雷德·哈丁
<1%
卡里姆·阿拉姆 42%
肯·沈 34%
皮特·弗莱 15.3%
威廉·阿扎罗夫 5.2%
$67,306 交易量
$67,306 交易量

卡里姆·阿拉姆
42%

肯·沈
34%

皮特·弗莱
15%

威廉·阿扎罗夫
5%

约翰·库帕
2%

科琳·哈德威克
1%

丽贝卡·布莱
1%

肖恩·奥尔
1%

蒂姆·路易斯
<1%

阿曼达·伯罗斯
<1%

Kirk LaPointe
<1%

弗雷德·哈丁
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of declared candidates for Vancouver’s October 2026 municipal election has kept the race competitive, with Kareem Allam holding a modest lead in trader consensus over incumbent Ken Sim. Allam, Sim’s former chief of staff now running under the Vancouver Liberals banner, benefits from name recognition and a direct challenge narrative, while Sim’s re-election bid draws on his record as mayor since 2022. Multiple progressive and independent contenders—including Pete Fry for the Greens, William Azaroff for OneCity, Rebecca Bligh for Vote Vancouver, and Colleen Hardwick for TEAM—have recently secured nominations without any agreement on consolidation, raising the prospect of vote splitting that could narrow margins on election night. Upcoming party conventions and potential late endorsements remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift positioning ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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