Delcy Rodríguez has consolidated power as Venezuela’s acting president since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with traders assigning her an 89.5% chance of remaining de facto leader at year-end. U.S. recognition, military backing, and policy coordination under the Trump administration—including oil-sector reforms and diplomatic outreach—have reinforced her position despite the June earthquakes that strained governance and humanitarian response. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined, with limited leverage under current institutional and external constraints. Other listed candidates register negligible probabilities due to absent succession mechanisms or political pathways before December 31. The market reflects trader consensus on continuity through year-end amid ongoing U.S. influence and delayed transition talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于德尔茜·罗德里格斯 90%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 3.9%
迪诺拉·菲格拉 2.1%
皮特·海格塞思 <1%
$367,912 交易量
$367,912 交易量
2026-12-31
德尔茜·罗德里格斯
90%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
4%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
2%
皮特·海格塞思
1%
丹·凯恩
1%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
1%
马可·鲁比奥
1%
霍尔赫·罗德里格斯
1%
没有国家元首
<1%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
<1%
唐纳德·特朗普
<1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
<1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
<1%
德尔茜·罗德里格斯 90%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多 3.9%
迪诺拉·菲格拉 2.1%
皮特·海格塞思 <1%
$367,912 交易量
$367,912 交易量
2026-12-31
德尔茜·罗德里格斯
$86,357 交易量
90%
玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多
$52,358 交易量
4%
迪诺拉·菲格拉
$4,171 交易量
2%
皮特·海格塞思
$2,758 交易量
1%
丹·凯恩
$3,059 交易量
1%
埃德蒙多·冈萨雷斯
$3,500 交易量
1%
马可·鲁比奥
$5,959 交易量
1%
霍尔赫·罗德里格斯
$8,193 交易量
1%
没有国家元首
$66,886 交易量
<1%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
$4,151 交易量
<1%
唐纳德·特朗普
$2,670 交易量
<1%
弗拉迪米尔·帕德里诺·洛佩斯
$68,019 交易量
<1%
弗兰克·多诺万
$42,101 交易量
<1%
迪奥斯达多·卡贝略·隆东
$3,393 交易量
<1%
埃文·佩图斯
$7,128 交易量
<1%
理查德·格雷内尔
$7,209 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez has consolidated power as Venezuela’s acting president since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with traders assigning her an 89.5% chance of remaining de facto leader at year-end. U.S. recognition, military backing, and policy coordination under the Trump administration—including oil-sector reforms and diplomatic outreach—have reinforced her position despite the June earthquakes that strained governance and humanitarian response. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined, with limited leverage under current institutional and external constraints. Other listed candidates register negligible probabilities due to absent succession mechanisms or political pathways before December 31. The market reflects trader consensus on continuity through year-end amid ongoing U.S. influence and delayed transition talks.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
交易量
$367,912结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez has consolidated power as Venezuela’s acting president since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with traders assigning her an 89.5% chance of remaining de facto leader at year-end. U.S. recognition, military backing, and policy coordination under the Trump administration—including oil-sector reforms and diplomatic outreach—have reinforced her position despite the June earthquakes that strained governance and humanitarian response. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined, with limited leverage under current institutional and external constraints. Other listed candidates register negligible probabilities due to absent succession mechanisms or political pathways before December 31. The market reflects trader consensus on continuity through year-end amid ongoing U.S. influence and delayed transition talks.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
交易量
$367,912结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez has consolidated power as Venezuela’s acting president since the January 2026 U.S. operation that removed Nicolás Maduro, with traders assigning her an 89.5% chance of remaining de facto leader at year-end. U.S. recognition, military backing, and policy coordination under the Trump administration—including oil-sector reforms and diplomatic outreach—have reinforced her position despite the June earthquakes that strained governance and humanitarian response. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined, with limited leverage under current institutional and external constraints. Other listed candidates register negligible probabilities due to absent succession mechanisms or political pathways before December 31. The market reflects trader consensus on continuity through year-end amid ongoing U.S. influence and delayed transition talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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