Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott's commanding 52-point reelection victory in 2024 and sustained high approval ratings—over 60% in late 2025 polling—anchor trader consensus at 80% for a Republican win in the November 3 general election. A majority of Vermonters polled last October favored Scott seeking a sixth two-year term, bolstered by his moderate appeal in a state with Democratic legislative supermajority. Petitions to secure his spot on the August 11 Republican primary ballot circulated as recently as early April, ahead of the May 28 filing deadline. Democrat Amanda Janoo announced her challenge in March, but lacks polling to shift odds significantly yet, leaving the race leaning heavily toward the popular incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,865 交易量
$20,865 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
22%
$20,865 交易量
$20,865 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$12,257 交易量
79%
民主党
$8,608 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott's commanding 52-point reelection victory in 2024 and sustained high approval ratings—over 60% in late 2025 polling—anchor trader consensus at 80% for a Republican win in the November 3 general election. A majority of Vermonters polled last October favored Scott seeking a sixth two-year term, bolstered by his moderate appeal in a state with Democratic legislative supermajority. Petitions to secure his spot on the August 11 Republican primary ballot circulated as recently as early April, ahead of the May 28 filing deadline. Democrat Amanda Janoo announced her challenge in March, but lacks polling to shift odds significantly yet, leaving the race leaning heavily toward the popular incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$20,865结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott's commanding 52-point reelection victory in 2024 and sustained high approval ratings—over 60% in late 2025 polling—anchor trader consensus at 80% for a Republican win in the November 3 general election. A majority of Vermonters polled last October favored Scott seeking a sixth two-year term, bolstered by his moderate appeal in a state with Democratic legislative supermajority. Petitions to secure his spot on the August 11 Republican primary ballot circulated as recently as early April, ahead of the May 28 filing deadline. Democrat Amanda Janoo announced her challenge in March, but lacks polling to shift odds significantly yet, leaving the race leaning heavily toward the popular incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$20,865结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott's commanding 52-point reelection victory in 2024 and sustained high approval ratings—over 60% in late 2025 polling—anchor trader consensus at 80% for a Republican win in the November 3 general election. A majority of Vermonters polled last October favored Scott seeking a sixth two-year term, bolstered by his moderate appeal in a state with Democratic legislative supermajority. Petitions to secure his spot on the August 11 Republican primary ballot circulated as recently as early April, ahead of the May 28 filing deadline. Democrat Amanda Janoo announced her challenge in March, but lacks polling to shift odds significantly yet, leaving the race leaning heavily toward the popular incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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