Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome. Recent May 2026 polling shows Warner ahead of prospective Republican primary contenders by margins of 25 points or more, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and his established support among key voter groups. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited national Republican investment and Virginia's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages. A major national political shift, unexpected primary results, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Democratic strength.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,930 交易量
93%
共和党
$1,118 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome. Recent May 2026 polling shows Warner ahead of prospective Republican primary contenders by margins of 25 points or more, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and his established support among key voter groups. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited national Republican investment and Virginia's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages. A major national political shift, unexpected primary results, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Democratic strength.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$9,048结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome. Recent May 2026 polling shows Warner ahead of prospective Republican primary contenders by margins of 25 points or more, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and his established support among key voter groups. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited national Republican investment and Virginia's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages. A major national political shift, unexpected primary results, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Democratic strength.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$9,048结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic outcome. Recent May 2026 polling shows Warner ahead of prospective Republican primary contenders by margins of 25 points or more, consistent with the state's partisan leanings and his established support among key voter groups. The Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic, citing limited national Republican investment and Virginia's recent electoral trends favoring Democrats. With primaries set for August 4 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with these structural advantages. A major national political shift, unexpected primary results, or unforeseen campaign developments could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Democratic strength.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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