Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito's primary victory on May 12 with 66.5 percent of the vote underscores the strong GOP position in West Virginia's Senate contest. The state's consistent Republican lean in federal races, combined with Capito's established record as a two-term senator, has produced trader consensus favoring her reelection to a third term. Democratic nominee Rachel Fetty Anderson confronts structural barriers in a state where Republican candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. While the implied probability leaves limited room for shifts, late developments such as major scandals, health concerns, or abrupt national political realignments could theoretically alter the trajectory before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
4%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,808 交易量
93%
民主党
$4,029 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito's primary victory on May 12 with 66.5 percent of the vote underscores the strong GOP position in West Virginia's Senate contest. The state's consistent Republican lean in federal races, combined with Capito's established record as a two-term senator, has produced trader consensus favoring her reelection to a third term. Democratic nominee Rachel Fetty Anderson confronts structural barriers in a state where Republican candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. While the implied probability leaves limited room for shifts, late developments such as major scandals, health concerns, or abrupt national political realignments could theoretically alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$9,837结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito's primary victory on May 12 with 66.5 percent of the vote underscores the strong GOP position in West Virginia's Senate contest. The state's consistent Republican lean in federal races, combined with Capito's established record as a two-term senator, has produced trader consensus favoring her reelection to a third term. Democratic nominee Rachel Fetty Anderson confronts structural barriers in a state where Republican candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. While the implied probability leaves limited room for shifts, late developments such as major scandals, health concerns, or abrupt national political realignments could theoretically alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$9,837结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito's primary victory on May 12 with 66.5 percent of the vote underscores the strong GOP position in West Virginia's Senate contest. The state's consistent Republican lean in federal races, combined with Capito's established record as a two-term senator, has produced trader consensus favoring her reelection to a third term. Democratic nominee Rachel Fetty Anderson confronts structural barriers in a state where Republican candidates have prevailed by wide margins in recent cycles. While the implied probability leaves limited room for shifts, late developments such as major scandals, health concerns, or abrupt national political realignments could theoretically alter the trajectory before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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