Skip to main content
icon for 2026年OpenAI会推出什么样的产品？
科技·Jony Ive

2026年OpenAI会推出什么样的产品？

icon for 2026年OpenAI会推出什么样的产品？
科技·Jony Ive

2026年OpenAI会推出什么样的产品？

$258,371 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$258,371 交易量

Polymarket

耳塞/耳机

$99,775 交易量

31%

眼镜

$45,067 交易量

28%

手机

$28,179 交易量

21%

衣物夹式设备

$24,712 交易量

16%

手表

$28,425 交易量

17%

戒指

$2,943 交易量

16%

头戴式显示器

$2,963 交易量

14%

项链

$15,081 交易量

14%

电脑（笔记本/台式机）

$9,824 交易量

13%

平板电脑

$1,400 交易量

11%

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI's trader consensus reflects its pattern of frequent large language model releases and agentic enhancements, exemplified by the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5—its strongest yet with 2x API revenue growth—and May updates like GPT-5.5 Instant, real-time voice models, workspace agents, and Codex expansions to AWS. These solidify competitive positioning against Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini amid surging enterprise demand for coding and biology tools like GPT-Rosalind. Hardware remains a key uncertainty, with January confirmation of a first AI device targeted for H2 2026 reveal, fueled by Jony Ive collaboration rumors and custom chip production plans. Watch DevDay on September 29 for catalysts, as Q2 model benchmarks and supply chain signals could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
交易量
$258,371
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI's trader consensus reflects its pattern of frequent large language model releases and agentic enhancements, exemplified by the April 23 launch of GPT-5.5—its strongest yet with 2x API revenue growth—and May updates like GPT-5.5 Instant, real-time voice models, workspace agents, and Codex expansions to AWS. These solidify competitive positioning against Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini amid surging enterprise demand for coding and biology tools like GPT-Rosalind. Hardware remains a key uncertainty, with January confirmation of a first AI device targeted for H2 2026 reveal, fueled by Jony Ive collaboration rumors and custom chip production plans. Watch DevDay on September 29 for catalysts, as Q2 model benchmarks and supply chain signals could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.

If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
交易量
$258,371
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 11:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年OpenAI会推出什么样的产品？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"耳塞/耳机"，概率为 31%，其次是"眼镜"，概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 31¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 31%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年OpenAI会推出什么样的产品？"已产生 $258.4K 的总交易量（自Jan 30, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年OpenAI会推出什么样的产品？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年OpenAI会推出什么样的产品？"的当前领先者是"耳塞/耳机"，概率为 31%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 31%。紧随其后的结果是"眼镜"，概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年OpenAI会推出什么样的产品？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。