Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, centered on the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February, have driven sharp global oil inventory draws exceeding 6 million barrels per day in the second quarter and supported elevated WTI prices near $88-$91 per barrel in early June. The EIA projects Brent averages around $105 per barrel for June and July amid these supply outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day, though recent reports of potential U.S.-Iran ceasefire progress have introduced downside volatility. Weakening demand signals and divergent analyst outlooks, including J.P. Morgan's full-year $60 forecast, add uncertainty as traders monitor OPEC+ compliance, production restarts, and any resolution timeline for regional flows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2,534,276 交易量
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
2%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
7%
↑ $125
5%
↑ $115
10%
↑ $110
14%
↑ $105
21%
↑ $100
37%
↓ $70
10%
↓ 85美元
80%
↓ $80
46%
↓ $75
21%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ 65美元
5%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
$2,534,276 交易量
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
2%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
7%
↑ $125
5%
↑ $115
10%
↑ $110
14%
↑ $105
21%
↑ $100
37%
↓ $70
10%
↓ 85美元
80%
↓ $80
46%
↓ $75
21%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ 65美元
5%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
市场开放时间: May 29, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, centered on the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February, have driven sharp global oil inventory draws exceeding 6 million barrels per day in the second quarter and supported elevated WTI prices near $88-$91 per barrel in early June. The EIA projects Brent averages around $105 per barrel for June and July amid these supply outages exceeding 10 million barrels per day, though recent reports of potential U.S.-Iran ceasefire progress have introduced downside volatility. Weakening demand signals and divergent analyst outlooks, including J.P. Morgan's full-year $60 forecast, add uncertainty as traders monitor OPEC+ compliance, production restarts, and any resolution timeline for regional flows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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