Strong summer blockbusters including *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, *Toy Story 5*, and *The Super Mario Galaxy Movie* have propelled 2026’s domestic totals to roughly $6.5 billion year-to-date, marking the strongest first-half performance in years and fueling trader bets on a mid-tier all-time finish. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether late-summer and holiday releases sustain momentum toward top-10 or higher placement, versus softening that lands the year in the 13th–15th range. Historical patterns show years with multiple billion-dollar-plus earners often climb rankings quickly, while any slowdown in attendance or underperforming tentpoles could cap gains. Key upcoming catalysts include tracking for remaining tentpoles and final quarterly results that will clarify the year’s ultimate standing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
13th-15th 44%
10th-12th 42%
6th or higher 42%
7th-9th 41%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
6th or higher
42%
7th-9th
41%
10th-12th
42%
13th-15th
44%
Below 15th
39%
13th-15th 44%
10th-12th 42%
6th or higher 42%
7th-9th 41%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
6th or higher
$19 交易量
42%
7th-9th
$16 交易量
41%
10th-12th
$18 交易量
42%
13th-15th
$18 交易量
44%
Below 15th
$6 交易量
39%
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong summer blockbusters including *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, *Toy Story 5*, and *The Super Mario Galaxy Movie* have propelled 2026’s domestic totals to roughly $6.5 billion year-to-date, marking the strongest first-half performance in years and fueling trader bets on a mid-tier all-time finish. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether late-summer and holiday releases sustain momentum toward top-10 or higher placement, versus softening that lands the year in the 13th–15th range. Historical patterns show years with multiple billion-dollar-plus earners often climb rankings quickly, while any slowdown in attendance or underperforming tentpoles could cap gains. Key upcoming catalysts include tracking for remaining tentpoles and final quarterly results that will clarify the year’s ultimate standing.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
交易量
$78结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong summer blockbusters including *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, *Toy Story 5*, and *The Super Mario Galaxy Movie* have propelled 2026’s domestic totals to roughly $6.5 billion year-to-date, marking the strongest first-half performance in years and fueling trader bets on a mid-tier all-time finish. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether late-summer and holiday releases sustain momentum toward top-10 or higher placement, versus softening that lands the year in the 13th–15th range. Historical patterns show years with multiple billion-dollar-plus earners often climb rankings quickly, while any slowdown in attendance or underperforming tentpoles could cap gains. Key upcoming catalysts include tracking for remaining tentpoles and final quarterly results that will clarify the year’s ultimate standing.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$78结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong summer blockbusters including *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, *Toy Story 5*, and *The Super Mario Galaxy Movie* have propelled 2026’s domestic totals to roughly $6.5 billion year-to-date, marking the strongest first-half performance in years and fueling trader bets on a mid-tier all-time finish. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether late-summer and holiday releases sustain momentum toward top-10 or higher placement, versus softening that lands the year in the 13th–15th range. Historical patterns show years with multiple billion-dollar-plus earners often climb rankings quickly, while any slowdown in attendance or underperforming tentpoles could cap gains. Key upcoming catalysts include tracking for remaining tentpoles and final quarterly results that will clarify the year’s ultimate standing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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