**Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 63.5 percent because relations have cooled sharply since their August 2025 Anchorage summit.** Peace efforts on Ukraine stalled amid battlefield escalation and disputes over territory, while Russia has expressed dissatisfaction with U.S. mediation and questioned prior understandings. Recent developments include a March 2026 phone call focused on Ukraine and Iran, a prisoner release tied to that conversation, and ongoing U.S. concerns about Russian actions toward NATO. These factors have reduced momentum for another bilateral encounter. China leads alternative venues at 32 percent, reflecting its role as a potential neutral site for high-level diplomacy involving multiple powers, while Russia, the United States, and other locations remain at 2 percent or lower due to limited recent signals of upcoming talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面?
截至12月31日不见面 64%
China 32%
Russia 1.9%
Gulf country 1.1%
$413,345 交易量
$413,345 交易量

截至12月31日不见面
64%

China
32%

Russia
2%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
截至12月31日不见面 64%
China 32%
Russia 1.9%
Gulf country 1.1%
$413,345 交易量
$413,345 交易量

截至12月31日不见面
64%

China
32%

Russia
2%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Other
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 63.5 percent because relations have cooled sharply since their August 2025 Anchorage summit.** Peace efforts on Ukraine stalled amid battlefield escalation and disputes over territory, while Russia has expressed dissatisfaction with U.S. mediation and questioned prior understandings. Recent developments include a March 2026 phone call focused on Ukraine and Iran, a prisoner release tied to that conversation, and ongoing U.S. concerns about Russian actions toward NATO. These factors have reduced momentum for another bilateral encounter. China leads alternative venues at 32 percent, reflecting its role as a potential neutral site for high-level diplomacy involving multiple powers, while Russia, the United States, and other locations remain at 2 percent or lower due to limited recent signals of upcoming talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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