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icon for 2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面?

2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面?

icon for 2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面?

2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面?

12月 31

12月 31

截至12月31日不见面 64%

China 32%

Russia 1.9%

Gulf country 1.1%

Polymarket

$413,345 交易量

截至12月31日不见面 64%

China 32%

Russia 1.9%

Gulf country 1.1%

Polymarket

$413,345 交易量

icon for 截至12月31日不见面

截至12月31日不见面

$80,205 交易量

64%

icon for China

China

$50,864 交易量

32%

icon for Russia

Russia

$64,132 交易量

2%

icon for Gulf country

Gulf country

$14,950 交易量

1%

icon for United States

United States

$18,452 交易量

1%

icon for Other

Other

$15,481 交易量

1%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$18,179 交易量

1%

icon for Other EU country

Other EU country

$13,538 交易量

<1%

icon for Turkey

Turkey

$20,557 交易量

<1%

icon for Belarus

Belarus

$13,523 交易量

<1%

icon for Finland

Finland

$16,181 交易量

<1%

icon for South Korea

South Korea

$12,754 交易量

<1%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$15,620 交易量

<1%

icon for Japan

Japan

$20,433 交易量

<1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$38,475 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 63.5 percent because relations have cooled sharply since their August 2025 Anchorage summit.** Peace efforts on Ukraine stalled amid battlefield escalation and disputes over territory, while Russia has expressed dissatisfaction with U.S. mediation and questioned prior understandings. Recent developments include a March 2026 phone call focused on Ukraine and Iran, a prisoner release tied to that conversation, and ongoing U.S. concerns about Russian actions toward NATO. These factors have reduced momentum for another bilateral encounter. China leads alternative venues at 32 percent, reflecting its role as a potential neutral site for high-level diplomacy involving multiple powers, while Russia, the United States, and other locations remain at 2 percent or lower due to limited recent signals of upcoming talks.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$413,345
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 63.5 percent because relations have cooled sharply since their August 2025 Anchorage summit.** Peace efforts on Ukraine stalled amid battlefield escalation and disputes over territory, while Russia has expressed dissatisfaction with U.S. mediation and questioned prior understandings. Recent developments include a March 2026 phone call focused on Ukraine and Iran, a prisoner release tied to that conversation, and ongoing U.S. concerns about Russian actions toward NATO. These factors have reduced momentum for another bilateral encounter. China leads alternative venues at 32 percent, reflecting its role as a potential neutral site for high-level diplomacy involving multiple powers, while Russia, the United States, and other locations remain at 2 percent or lower due to limited recent signals of upcoming talks.

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$413,345
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"截至12月31日不见面",概率为 64%,其次是"China",概率为 32%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 64¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 64%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面?"已产生 $413.3K 的总交易量(自May 26, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面?"的当前领先者是"截至12月31日不见面",概率为 64%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 64%。紧随其后的结果是"China",概率为 32%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年特朗普和普京将在哪里会面?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。