Anthropic and OpenAI drove recent momentum by publicly committing in mid-September 2026 to embed independent third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to models, training processes, and safety systems, enabling ongoing verification of alignment and incident reporting rather than one-off pre-release checks. These moves followed California’s September 9 signing of SB 813 and AB 1405, which established frameworks for certified Independent Verification Organizations, and built on months of private discussions among frontier labs about industry standards. Google DeepMind, Meta, xAI, and others have not matched the embedded-access pledge, though DeepMind’s former CEO has advocated a FINRA-style body for pre-release reviews. Existing CAISI government testing agreements do not satisfy the market’s criteria for ongoing internal access. With the October 31 deadline roughly six weeks away, further announcements from lagging labs or clarification on evaluator independence could shift trader consensus before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$48,076 交易量

SpaceXAI
33%

谷歌
33%

微软
30%

Meta
24%

亚马逊
18%

Mistral
13%

字节跳动
11%

Z.ai
8%

百度
7%

阿里巴巴
7%

DeepSeek
7%

美团
6%

Moonshot
4%
$48,076 交易量

SpaceXAI
33%

谷歌
33%

微软
30%

Meta
24%

亚马逊
18%

Mistral
13%

字节跳动
11%

Z.ai
8%

百度
7%

阿里巴巴
7%

DeepSeek
7%

美团
6%

Moonshot
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic and OpenAI drove recent momentum by publicly committing in mid-September 2026 to embed independent third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to models, training processes, and safety systems, enabling ongoing verification of alignment and incident reporting rather than one-off pre-release checks. These moves followed California’s September 9 signing of SB 813 and AB 1405, which established frameworks for certified Independent Verification Organizations, and built on months of private discussions among frontier labs about industry standards. Google DeepMind, Meta, xAI, and others have not matched the embedded-access pledge, though DeepMind’s former CEO has advocated a FINRA-style body for pre-release reviews. Existing CAISI government testing agreements do not satisfy the market’s criteria for ongoing internal access. With the October 31 deadline roughly six weeks away, further announcements from lagging labs or clarification on evaluator independence could shift trader consensus before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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