Mexico's military operations against the Jalisco New Generation Cartel have accelerated in 2026 following the February killing of leader Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as El Mencho, during a US-supported raid. This prompted the late-April capture of regional commander Audias Flores Silva, alias El Jardinero, in Nayarit by more than 500 troops, marking a significant leadership blow. Concurrent US Justice Department indictments targeting Sinaloa Cartel figures and Mexican officials, alongside continued extraditions of high-impact operatives, have heightened enforcement momentum under President Claudia Sheinbaum. These developments, combined with announced rewards for additional Sinaloa plaza bosses, frame trader focus on further 2026 arrests amid bilateral anti-cartel efforts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年将逮捕哪些卡特尔领导人？
2026年将逮捕哪些卡特尔领导人？
$82,418 交易量
2026-02-28
伊万·阿尔奇瓦尔多·古兹曼·萨拉萨尔
53%
赫苏斯·阿尔弗雷多·古斯曼·萨拉查
51%
里卡多·鲁伊斯·贝拉斯科
62%
乌戈·冈萨洛·门多萨·加坦
42%
胡安·卡洛斯·瓦伦西亚·冈萨雷斯
39%
胡安·雷耶斯·梅希亚·冈萨雷斯
49%
胡安·巴勃罗·莱德斯马
49%
$82,418 交易量
伊万·阿尔奇瓦尔多·古兹曼·萨拉萨尔
$5,709 交易量
53%
赫苏斯·阿尔弗雷多·古斯曼·萨拉查
$5,818 交易量
51%
里卡多·鲁伊斯·贝拉斯科
$825 交易量
62%
乌戈·冈萨洛·门多萨·加坦
$4,842 交易量
42%
胡安·卡洛斯·瓦伦西亚·冈萨雷斯
$58,618 交易量
39%
胡安·雷耶斯·梅希亚·冈萨雷斯
$0 交易量
49%
胡安·巴勃罗·莱德斯马
$658 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexico's military operations against the Jalisco New Generation Cartel have accelerated in 2026 following the February killing of leader Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as El Mencho, during a US-supported raid. This prompted the late-April capture of regional commander Audias Flores Silva, alias El Jardinero, in Nayarit by more than 500 troops, marking a significant leadership blow. Concurrent US Justice Department indictments targeting Sinaloa Cartel figures and Mexican officials, alongside continued extraditions of high-impact operatives, have heightened enforcement momentum under President Claudia Sheinbaum. These developments, combined with announced rewards for additional Sinaloa plaza bosses, frame trader focus on further 2026 arrests amid bilateral anti-cartel efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
交易量
$82,418结束日期
2026-02-28市场开放时间
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mexico's military operations against the Jalisco New Generation Cartel have accelerated in 2026 following the February killing of leader Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as El Mencho, during a US-supported raid. This prompted the late-April capture of regional commander Audias Flores Silva, alias El Jardinero, in Nayarit by more than 500 troops, marking a significant leadership blow. Concurrent US Justice Department indictments targeting Sinaloa Cartel figures and Mexican officials, alongside continued extraditions of high-impact operatives, have heightened enforcement momentum under President Claudia Sheinbaum. These developments, combined with announced rewards for additional Sinaloa plaza bosses, frame trader focus on further 2026 arrests amid bilateral anti-cartel efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$82,418结束日期
2026-02-28市场开放时间
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mexico's military operations against the Jalisco New Generation Cartel have accelerated in 2026 following the February killing of leader Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as El Mencho, during a US-supported raid. This prompted the late-April capture of regional commander Audias Flores Silva, alias El Jardinero, in Nayarit by more than 500 troops, marking a significant leadership blow. Concurrent US Justice Department indictments targeting Sinaloa Cartel figures and Mexican officials, alongside continued extraditions of high-impact operatives, have heightened enforcement momentum under President Claudia Sheinbaum. These developments, combined with announced rewards for additional Sinaloa plaza bosses, frame trader focus on further 2026 arrests amid bilateral anti-cartel efforts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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