Europe dominates trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 72.5% implied probability, reflecting the concentration of elite squads from recent UEFA Nations League and European Championship cycles. Spain and France top most pre-tournament power rankings thanks to deep rosters, recent form, and flawless qualification paths, while England, Germany, and Portugal add further depth. South America sits at 20.5% largely on the strength of defending champions Argentina and Brazil’s attacking pedigree, though historical back-to-back wins remain rare. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania align with fewer teams consistently reaching knockout stages in expanded 48-nation fields and limited recent continental success against top European or South American sides.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于欧洲 73%
南美洲 21%
非洲 3.6%
亚洲 2.9%
$2,225,748 交易量
$2,225,748 交易量
欧洲
73%
南美洲
21%
非洲
4%
亚洲
3%
北美
2%
大洋洲
<1%
欧洲 73%
南美洲 21%
非洲 3.6%
亚洲 2.9%
$2,225,748 交易量
$2,225,748 交易量
欧洲
$161,653 交易量
73%
南美洲
$230,728 交易量
21%
非洲
$1,013,914 交易量
4%
亚洲
$270,301 交易量
3%
北美
$243,571 交易量
2%
大洋洲
$305,582 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Europe dominates trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 72.5% implied probability, reflecting the concentration of elite squads from recent UEFA Nations League and European Championship cycles. Spain and France top most pre-tournament power rankings thanks to deep rosters, recent form, and flawless qualification paths, while England, Germany, and Portugal add further depth. South America sits at 20.5% largely on the strength of defending champions Argentina and Brazil’s attacking pedigree, though historical back-to-back wins remain rare. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania align with fewer teams consistently reaching knockout stages in expanded 48-nation fields and limited recent continental success against top European or South American sides.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
交易量
$2,225,748市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Europe dominates trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 72.5% implied probability, reflecting the concentration of elite squads from recent UEFA Nations League and European Championship cycles. Spain and France top most pre-tournament power rankings thanks to deep rosters, recent form, and flawless qualification paths, while England, Germany, and Portugal add further depth. South America sits at 20.5% largely on the strength of defending champions Argentina and Brazil’s attacking pedigree, though historical back-to-back wins remain rare. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania align with fewer teams consistently reaching knockout stages in expanded 48-nation fields and limited recent continental success against top European or South American sides.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,225,748市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe dominates trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 72.5% implied probability, reflecting the concentration of elite squads from recent UEFA Nations League and European Championship cycles. Spain and France top most pre-tournament power rankings thanks to deep rosters, recent form, and flawless qualification paths, while England, Germany, and Portugal add further depth. South America sits at 20.5% largely on the strength of defending champions Argentina and Brazil’s attacking pedigree, though historical back-to-back wins remain rare. Lower probabilities for Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania align with fewer teams consistently reaching knockout stages in expanded 48-nation fields and limited recent continental success against top European or South American sides.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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