The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo remains the dominant driver of market positioning, with over 7,600 confirmed cases and 3,600 deaths reported across seven provinces as of mid-September. Rapid expansion from the Ituri epicenter into North Kivu, Haut-Uélé, and other areas, fueled by conflict, displacement, and weak surveillance, has elevated the risk of further cross-border transmission. Uganda recorded 20 cases before declaring its outbreak over in July, while France confirmed a single imported case in June that was quickly contained. Traders are watching vaccination campaigns, contact-tracing improvements, and any new international imports as key swing factors ahead of year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$39,661 交易量
2026-12-31
South Sudan
39%
Rwanda
17%
Burundi
37%
United States
20%
Canada
23%
Kenya
23%
India
42%
Republic of the Congo
22%
Nigeria
50%
Ethiopia
49%
Somalia
35%
China
19%
$39,661 交易量
South Sudan
$4,572 交易量
39%
Rwanda
$2,216 交易量
17%
Burundi
$229 交易量
37%
United States
$10,886 交易量
20%
Canada
$2,307 交易量
23%
Kenya
$237 交易量
23%
India
$737 交易量
42%
Republic of the Congo
$12,408 交易量
22%
Nigeria
$25 交易量
50%
Ethiopia
$107 交易量
49%
Somalia
$129 交易量
35%
China
$3,853 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo remains the dominant driver of market positioning, with over 7,600 confirmed cases and 3,600 deaths reported across seven provinces as of mid-September. Rapid expansion from the Ituri epicenter into North Kivu, Haut-Uélé, and other areas, fueled by conflict, displacement, and weak surveillance, has elevated the risk of further cross-border transmission. Uganda recorded 20 cases before declaring its outbreak over in July, while France confirmed a single imported case in June that was quickly contained. Traders are watching vaccination campaigns, contact-tracing improvements, and any new international imports as key swing factors ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
交易量
$39,661结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo remains the dominant driver of market positioning, with over 7,600 confirmed cases and 3,600 deaths reported across seven provinces as of mid-September. Rapid expansion from the Ituri epicenter into North Kivu, Haut-Uélé, and other areas, fueled by conflict, displacement, and weak surveillance, has elevated the risk of further cross-border transmission. Uganda recorded 20 cases before declaring its outbreak over in July, while France confirmed a single imported case in June that was quickly contained. Traders are watching vaccination campaigns, contact-tracing improvements, and any new international imports as key swing factors ahead of year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$39,661结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETThe ongoing 2026 Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo remains the dominant driver of market positioning, with over 7,600 confirmed cases and 3,600 deaths reported across seven provinces as of mid-September. Rapid expansion from the Ituri epicenter into North Kivu, Haut-Uélé, and other areas, fueled by conflict, displacement, and weak surveillance, has elevated the risk of further cross-border transmission. Uganda recorded 20 cases before declaring its outbreak over in July, while France confirmed a single imported case in June that was quickly contained. Traders are watching vaccination campaigns, contact-tracing improvements, and any new international imports as key swing factors ahead of year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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