Avengers: Doomsday holds the strongest market-implied odds for delivering the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, fueled by its December 18 holiday slot as a major MCU crossover event reuniting key stars like Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic debut (surpassing Avengers: Endgame) has already locked in the year’s top spot and second-biggest global launch, shifting trader focus to Doomsday’s anticipated scale amid strong presales and franchise momentum. Other 2026 titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping show minimal implied probability, reflecting limited tracking data or earlier release timing that reduces their upside. Key upcoming catalysts include Doomsday’s marketing push and any late-year competition adjustments before the calendar locks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于哪部电影在2026年的开幕周末排名第二？
哪部电影在2026年的开幕周末排名第二？
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 38%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$31,883 交易量
$31,883 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
38%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 38%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$31,883 交易量
$31,883 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
$17,591 交易量
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$9,964 交易量
38%
Toy Story 5
$579 交易量
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 交易量
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$1,987 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday holds the strongest market-implied odds for delivering the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, fueled by its December 18 holiday slot as a major MCU crossover event reuniting key stars like Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic debut (surpassing Avengers: Endgame) has already locked in the year’s top spot and second-biggest global launch, shifting trader focus to Doomsday’s anticipated scale amid strong presales and franchise momentum. Other 2026 titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping show minimal implied probability, reflecting limited tracking data or earlier release timing that reduces their upside. Key upcoming catalysts include Doomsday’s marketing push and any late-year competition adjustments before the calendar locks.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
交易量
$31,883结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday holds the strongest market-implied odds for delivering the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, fueled by its December 18 holiday slot as a major MCU crossover event reuniting key stars like Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic debut (surpassing Avengers: Endgame) has already locked in the year’s top spot and second-biggest global launch, shifting trader focus to Doomsday’s anticipated scale amid strong presales and franchise momentum. Other 2026 titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping show minimal implied probability, reflecting limited tracking data or earlier release timing that reduces their upside. Key upcoming catalysts include Doomsday’s marketing push and any late-year competition adjustments before the calendar locks.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$31,883结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday holds the strongest market-implied odds for delivering the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, fueled by its December 18 holiday slot as a major MCU crossover event reuniting key stars like Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic debut (surpassing Avengers: Endgame) has already locked in the year’s top spot and second-biggest global launch, shifting trader focus to Doomsday’s anticipated scale amid strong presales and franchise momentum. Other 2026 titles like Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping show minimal implied probability, reflecting limited tracking data or earlier release timing that reduces their upside. Key upcoming catalysts include Doomsday’s marketing push and any late-year competition adjustments before the calendar locks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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