Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest market-implied odds for the biggest opening week of 2026 due to its December 18 holiday release as a major MCU crossover event featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and direction from the Russo brothers. This timing historically maximizes audience turnout for Avengers-level tentpoles, building on the franchise’s track record of record domestic debuts during the festive period. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at a distant second thanks to its July 31 slot and Tom Holland’s established draw, though it faces earlier-year competition from titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie that have already posted strong benchmarks. Lower-odds contenders such as The Odyssey and Dune: Messiah trail because mid-year or less-established release windows typically limit opening-week ceilings compared with end-of-year blockbusters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 70%
The Odyssey 46.3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 26.0%
$13,195 交易量
$13,195 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
70%
The Odyssey
46%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
26%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
16%
Toy Story 5
3%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 70%
The Odyssey 46.3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 26.0%
$13,195 交易量
$13,195 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
$729 交易量
70%
The Odyssey
$573 交易量
46%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$585 交易量
35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$493 交易量
26%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$798 交易量
16%
Toy Story 5
$495 交易量
3%
Dune: Messiah
$663 交易量
1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$494 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest market-implied odds for the biggest opening week of 2026 due to its December 18 holiday release as a major MCU crossover event featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and direction from the Russo brothers. This timing historically maximizes audience turnout for Avengers-level tentpoles, building on the franchise’s track record of record domestic debuts during the festive period. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at a distant second thanks to its July 31 slot and Tom Holland’s established draw, though it faces earlier-year competition from titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie that have already posted strong benchmarks. Lower-odds contenders such as The Odyssey and Dune: Messiah trail because mid-year or less-established release windows typically limit opening-week ceilings compared with end-of-year blockbusters.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$13,195结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest market-implied odds for the biggest opening week of 2026 due to its December 18 holiday release as a major MCU crossover event featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and direction from the Russo brothers. This timing historically maximizes audience turnout for Avengers-level tentpoles, building on the franchise’s track record of record domestic debuts during the festive period. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at a distant second thanks to its July 31 slot and Tom Holland’s established draw, though it faces earlier-year competition from titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie that have already posted strong benchmarks. Lower-odds contenders such as The Odyssey and Dune: Messiah trail because mid-year or less-established release windows typically limit opening-week ceilings compared with end-of-year blockbusters.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$13,195结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday commands the strongest market-implied odds for the biggest opening week of 2026 due to its December 18 holiday release as a major MCU crossover event featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and direction from the Russo brothers. This timing historically maximizes audience turnout for Avengers-level tentpoles, building on the franchise’s track record of record domestic debuts during the festive period. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at a distant second thanks to its July 31 slot and Tom Holland’s established draw, though it faces earlier-year competition from titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie that have already posted strong benchmarks. Lower-odds contenders such as The Odyssey and Dune: Messiah trail because mid-year or less-established release windows typically limit opening-week ceilings compared with end-of-year blockbusters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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