The September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election is the key driver of market pricing on coalition composition. Recent polling trends show the AfD leading at 41–43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22–24 percent, with the SPD, FDP, Greens, and BSW hovering near or below the 5 percent threshold. The incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition under Minister-President Sven Schulze appears unlikely to retain a majority. Most other parties maintain a firewall against AfD participation, raising the possibility of an AfD absolute majority or complex negotiations involving the CDU, Die Linke, SPD, or BSW as potential kingmakers. Post-election coalition talks will determine the next government.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-12-31
基民盟
64%
社民党
51%
绿党
38%
AfD
29%
Linke
12%
BSW
7%
FDP
1%
$6,405 交易量
基民盟
$65 交易量
64%
社民党
$791 交易量
51%
绿党
$690 交易量
38%
AfD
$148 交易量
29%
Linke
$1,764 交易量
12%
BSW
$1,381 交易量
7%
FDP
$1,567 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government formed after the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Sachsen-Anhalt and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election is the key driver of market pricing on coalition composition. Recent polling trends show the AfD leading at 41–43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22–24 percent, with the SPD, FDP, Greens, and BSW hovering near or below the 5 percent threshold. The incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition under Minister-President Sven Schulze appears unlikely to retain a majority. Most other parties maintain a firewall against AfD participation, raising the possibility of an AfD absolute majority or complex negotiations involving the CDU, Die Linke, SPD, or BSW as potential kingmakers. Post-election coalition talks will determine the next government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government formed after the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Sachsen-Anhalt and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government formed after the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Sachsen-Anhalt and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
交易量
$6,405结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government formed after the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Sachsen-Anhalt and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election is the key driver of market pricing on coalition composition. Recent polling trends show the AfD leading at 41–43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22–24 percent, with the SPD, FDP, Greens, and BSW hovering near or below the 5 percent threshold. The incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition under Minister-President Sven Schulze appears unlikely to retain a majority. Most other parties maintain a firewall against AfD participation, raising the possibility of an AfD absolute majority or complex negotiations involving the CDU, Die Linke, SPD, or BSW as potential kingmakers. Post-election coalition talks will determine the next government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government formed after the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Sachsen-Anhalt and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government formed after the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Sachsen-Anhalt and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$6,405结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election is the key driver of market pricing on coalition composition. Recent polling trends show the AfD leading at 41–43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22–24 percent, with the SPD, FDP, Greens, and BSW hovering near or below the 5 percent threshold. The incumbent CDU–SPD–FDP coalition under Minister-President Sven Schulze appears unlikely to retain a majority. Most other parties maintain a firewall against AfD participation, raising the possibility of an AfD absolute majority or complex negotiations involving the CDU, Die Linke, SPD, or BSW as potential kingmakers. Post-election coalition talks will determine the next government.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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