United Russia maintains its leading position in trader assessments for the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by incumbency advantages, strong performance in single-mandate districts, and established regional infrastructure under Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and majoritarian contests. New People's recent polling gains, including consistent second-place readings near 13 percent in VTsIOM surveys that reflect appeal among younger and urban voters frustrated by internet restrictions, explain its elevated 29 percent implied probability as the main challenger. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation, Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, and smaller registered parties continue to register lower and more stable support levels around 8-13 percent in face-to-face surveys, with limited organizational momentum ahead of the mid-June campaign launch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 62%
新人民党（NL） 29.1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 3.6%
$8,183,372 交易量
$8,183,372 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
62%
新人民党（NL）
29%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
4%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
1%
罗迪纳
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 62%
新人民党（NL） 29.1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 3.6%
$8,183,372 交易量
$8,183,372 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$2,129,985 交易量
62%
新人民党（NL）
$1,045,120 交易量
29%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,272,868 交易量
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$654,512 交易量
4%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
$571,060 交易量
1%
罗迪纳
$930,214 交易量
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
$579,614 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its leading position in trader assessments for the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by incumbency advantages, strong performance in single-mandate districts, and established regional infrastructure under Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and majoritarian contests. New People's recent polling gains, including consistent second-place readings near 13 percent in VTsIOM surveys that reflect appeal among younger and urban voters frustrated by internet restrictions, explain its elevated 29 percent implied probability as the main challenger. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation, Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, and smaller registered parties continue to register lower and more stable support levels around 8-13 percent in face-to-face surveys, with limited organizational momentum ahead of the mid-June campaign launch.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$8,183,372结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its leading position in trader assessments for the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by incumbency advantages, strong performance in single-mandate districts, and established regional infrastructure under Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and majoritarian contests. New People's recent polling gains, including consistent second-place readings near 13 percent in VTsIOM surveys that reflect appeal among younger and urban voters frustrated by internet restrictions, explain its elevated 29 percent implied probability as the main challenger. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation, Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, and smaller registered parties continue to register lower and more stable support levels around 8-13 percent in face-to-face surveys, with limited organizational momentum ahead of the mid-June campaign launch.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$8,183,372结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its leading position in trader assessments for the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by incumbency advantages, strong performance in single-mandate districts, and established regional infrastructure under Russia's mixed electoral system of party-list proportional representation and majoritarian contests. New People's recent polling gains, including consistent second-place readings near 13 percent in VTsIOM surveys that reflect appeal among younger and urban voters frustrated by internet restrictions, explain its elevated 29 percent implied probability as the main challenger. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation, Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, and smaller registered parties continue to register lower and more stable support levels around 8-13 percent in face-to-face surveys, with limited organizational momentum ahead of the mid-June campaign launch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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