United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the largest seat gain in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched parliamentary majority, extensive administrative resources, and consistent dominance in recent regional contests. Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the three-day voting window has aligned campaign timing with ongoing institutional preparations, including a party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev that emphasizes continuity with executive priorities. Polling trends show United Russia ahead at roughly 40-48 percent, well clear of systemic opposition parties, while New People registers secondary support as a newer entrant but confronts the same managed electoral framework that has limited turnover in prior cycles. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller lists trail further, reflecting stable patterns of controlled competition and limited scope for significant seat shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 68%
新人民党（NL） 19.4%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.3%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 1.6%
$19,613,232 交易量
$19,613,232 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
68%
新人民党（NL）
19%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
2%
雅布洛科
1%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
<1%
罗迪纳
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 68%
新人民党（NL） 19.4%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.3%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 1.6%
$19,613,232 交易量
$19,613,232 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$6,875,366 交易量
68%
新人民党（NL）
$2,080,627 交易量
19%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$3,181,120 交易量
5%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$1,309,566 交易量
2%
雅布洛科
$1,096,867 交易量
1%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
$1,460,280 交易量
<1%
罗迪纳
$2,334,343 交易量
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
$1,275,063 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the largest seat gain in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched parliamentary majority, extensive administrative resources, and consistent dominance in recent regional contests. Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the three-day voting window has aligned campaign timing with ongoing institutional preparations, including a party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev that emphasizes continuity with executive priorities. Polling trends show United Russia ahead at roughly 40-48 percent, well clear of systemic opposition parties, while New People registers secondary support as a newer entrant but confronts the same managed electoral framework that has limited turnover in prior cycles. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller lists trail further, reflecting stable patterns of controlled competition and limited scope for significant seat shifts.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$19,613,232结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the largest seat gain in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched parliamentary majority, extensive administrative resources, and consistent dominance in recent regional contests. Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the three-day voting window has aligned campaign timing with ongoing institutional preparations, including a party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev that emphasizes continuity with executive priorities. Polling trends show United Russia ahead at roughly 40-48 percent, well clear of systemic opposition parties, while New People registers secondary support as a newer entrant but confronts the same managed electoral framework that has limited turnover in prior cycles. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller lists trail further, reflecting stable patterns of controlled competition and limited scope for significant seat shifts.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$19,613,232结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the largest seat gain in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched parliamentary majority, extensive administrative resources, and consistent dominance in recent regional contests. Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the three-day voting window has aligned campaign timing with ongoing institutional preparations, including a party list headed by Dmitry Medvedev that emphasizes continuity with executive priorities. Polling trends show United Russia ahead at roughly 40-48 percent, well clear of systemic opposition parties, while New People registers secondary support as a newer entrant but confronts the same managed electoral framework that has limited turnover in prior cycles. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller lists trail further, reflecting stable patterns of controlled competition and limited scope for significant seat shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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