Recent polling shows declining approval for the Trump administration among Latino men, driven primarily by negative views on the economy and cost of living, which have shifted generic congressional ballot preferences toward Democratic candidates. Surveys from May through August 2026, including UnidosUS and Equis Research data, indicate Hispanic men now favor Democrats by roughly 20 points in midterm voting intentions, reversing the 10-point Republican edge this group gave in 2024. Overall Latino registered voters also lean Democratic by double digits in multiple national samples, with economic concerns outranking immigration as the top priority. Traders appear to price these trends and the resulting defection signals from 2024 Republican supporters into the 67% probability for Democrats over Republicans at 42.5%. Scheduled events such as continued economic data releases and candidate messaging on affordability through November could influence turnout and final margins among this demographic.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主党
67%
共和党
40%
最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主党
$1 交易量
67%
共和党
$0 交易量
40%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows declining approval for the Trump administration among Latino men, driven primarily by negative views on the economy and cost of living, which have shifted generic congressional ballot preferences toward Democratic candidates. Surveys from May through August 2026, including UnidosUS and Equis Research data, indicate Hispanic men now favor Democrats by roughly 20 points in midterm voting intentions, reversing the 10-point Republican edge this group gave in 2024. Overall Latino registered voters also lean Democratic by double digits in multiple national samples, with economic concerns outranking immigration as the top priority. Traders appear to price these trends and the resulting defection signals from 2024 Republican supporters into the 67% probability for Democrats over Republicans at 42.5%. Scheduled events such as continued economic data releases and candidate messaging on affordability through November could influence turnout and final margins among this demographic.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$1结束日期
2026-11-06市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETThe 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows declining approval for the Trump administration among Latino men, driven primarily by negative views on the economy and cost of living, which have shifted generic congressional ballot preferences toward Democratic candidates. Surveys from May through August 2026, including UnidosUS and Equis Research data, indicate Hispanic men now favor Democrats by roughly 20 points in midterm voting intentions, reversing the 10-point Republican edge this group gave in 2024. Overall Latino registered voters also lean Democratic by double digits in multiple national samples, with economic concerns outranking immigration as the top priority. Traders appear to price these trends and the resulting defection signals from 2024 Republican supporters into the 67% probability for Democrats over Republicans at 42.5%. Scheduled events such as continued economic data releases and candidate messaging on affordability through November could influence turnout and final margins among this demographic.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$1结束日期
2026-11-06市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETRecent polling shows declining approval for the Trump administration among Latino men, driven primarily by negative views on the economy and cost of living, which have shifted generic congressional ballot preferences toward Democratic candidates. Surveys from May through August 2026, including UnidosUS and Equis Research data, indicate Hispanic men now favor Democrats by roughly 20 points in midterm voting intentions, reversing the 10-point Republican edge this group gave in 2024. Overall Latino registered voters also lean Democratic by double digits in multiple national samples, with economic concerns outranking immigration as the top priority. Traders appear to price these trends and the resulting defection signals from 2024 Republican supporters into the 67% probability for Democrats over Republicans at 42.5%. Scheduled events such as continued economic data releases and candidate messaging on affordability through November could influence turnout and final margins among this demographic.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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