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icon for 谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

icon for 谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?

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$14,044 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$14,044 交易量

Polymarket
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皮特·布蒂吉格

$20 交易量

83%

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安迪·贝希尔

$20 交易量

79%

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泰德·克鲁兹

$596 交易量

78%

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加文·纽森

$1,539 交易量

77%

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罗恩·德桑蒂斯

$40 交易量

77%

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拉姆·伊曼纽尔

$60 交易量

77%

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J.D.万斯

$95 交易量

77%

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亚历山大·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯

$389 交易量

70%

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乔什·夏皮罗

$70 交易量

70%

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科里·布克

$40 交易量

68%

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J.B.普利兹克

$45 交易量

67%

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卡马拉·哈里斯

$431 交易量

66%

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马克·凯利

$60 交易量

63%

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韦斯·摩尔

$60 交易量

58%

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乔恩·奥索夫

$718 交易量

48%

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马尔科·鲁比奥

$624 交易量

48%

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乔什·霍利

$295 交易量

42%

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兰德·保罗

$121 交易量

36%

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贾里德·波利斯

$40 交易量

34%

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格伦·杨金

$328 交易量

34%

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拉斐尔·沃诺克

$40 交易量

33%

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杨安泽

$762 交易量

30%

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维韦克·拉马斯瓦米

$60 交易量

30%

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玛乔丽·泰勒·格林

$132 交易量

29%

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格雷琴·惠特默

$145 交易量

28%

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莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$0 交易量

27%

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布赖恩·坎普

$143 交易量

27%

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格雷格·阿博特

$0 交易量

26%

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克里斯蒂·诺姆

$0 交易量

24%

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塔克·卡尔森

$458 交易量

23%

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尼基·黑利

$20 交易量

23%

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吉娜·雷蒙多

$974 交易量

20%

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约翰·费特曼

$0 交易量

20%

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菲尔·墨菲

$463 交易量

20%

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唐纳德·特朗普小唐

$40 交易量

20%

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史蒂夫·班农

$719 交易量

20%

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图尔西·加巴德

$301 交易量

20%

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罗伊·库珀

$0 交易量

19%

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罗伯特·F·肯尼迪 Jr.

$280 交易量

18%

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拜伦·唐纳兹

$0 交易量

18%

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埃莉斯·斯特凡尼克

$0 交易量

18%

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凯蒂·布里特

$0 交易量

17%

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亨特·拜登

$1,265 交易量

15%

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马克·库班

$71 交易量

14%

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Erika Kirk

$786 交易量

14%

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蒂姆·沃尔兹

$460 交易量

12%

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史蒂芬·A·史密斯

$621 交易量

12%

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贝托·奥罗克

$0 交易量

11%

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乔恩·斯图尔特

$80 交易量

10%

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约翰·图恩

$160 交易量

9%

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利兹·切尼

$217 交易量

8%

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奥普拉·温弗瑞

$0 交易量

8%

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迈克·彭斯

$0 交易量

8%

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唐纳德·特朗普

$0 交易量

8%

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坎迪斯·欧文斯

$0 交易量

7%

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埃隆·马斯克

$0 交易量

7%

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马特·盖茨

$0 交易量

7%

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唐·莱蒙

$0 交易量

7%

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伯尼·桑德斯

$42 交易量

7%

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MrBeast

$0 交易量

7%

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米歇尔·奥巴马

$0 交易量

7%

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伊万卡·特朗普

$0 交易量

6%

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汤姆·布雷迪

$0 交易量

6%

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佐赫兰·曼达尼

$21 交易量

6%

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德韦恩·“巨石”·强森

$0 交易量

6%

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金·卡戴珊

$0 交易量

6%

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乔治·克鲁尼

$0 交易量

6%

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勒布朗·詹姆斯

$0 交易量

6%

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希拉里·克林顿

$150 交易量

5%

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切尔西·克林顿

$42 交易量

5%

icon for 巴拉克·奥巴马

巴拉克·奥巴马

$0 交易量

4%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major party figures have launched formal 2028 presidential campaigns, leaving the field in an early exploratory phase focused on positioning rather than declarations. Democrats are advancing their primary calendar process, with the Rules and Bylaws Committee expected to finalize state order later this summer, potentially elevating diverse early states over traditional ones like Iowa. Speculation centers on figures such as Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and Mark Kelly on the Democratic side, alongside Republicans including JD Vance and Marco Rubio, many of whom are building national profiles through public appearances and policy statements. A handful of lesser-known candidates have filed with the FEC, while exploratory activity like Jo Jorgensen’s Libertarian committee formation signals the cycle’s gradual start. Announcements are widely anticipated after the November 2026 midterms, with traders monitoring polling trends, endorsements, and fundraising as indicators of likely entrants before the 2028 primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,044
结束日期
2027-12-31
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, no major party figures have launched formal 2028 presidential campaigns, leaving the field in an early exploratory phase focused on positioning rather than declarations. Democrats are advancing their primary calendar process, with the Rules and Bylaws Committee expected to finalize state order later this summer, potentially elevating diverse early states over traditional ones like Iowa. Speculation centers on figures such as Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and Mark Kelly on the Democratic side, alongside Republicans including JD Vance and Marco Rubio, many of whom are building national profiles through public appearances and policy statements. A handful of lesser-known candidates have filed with the FEC, while exploratory activity like Jo Jorgensen’s Libertarian committee formation signals the cycle’s gradual start. Announcements are widely anticipated after the November 2026 midterms, with traders monitoring polling trends, endorsements, and fundraising as indicators of likely entrants before the 2028 primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,044
结束日期
2027-12-31
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 71+ 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"皮特·布蒂吉格",概率为 83%,其次是"安迪·贝希尔",概率为 79%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 83¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 83%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"已产生 $14K 的总交易量(自Aug 4, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 71+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"的当前领先者是"皮特·布蒂吉格",概率为 83%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 83%。紧随其后的结果是"安迪·贝希尔",概率为 79%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在2028年之前宣布总统竞选?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。