Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s July 3, 2026 wedding at Madison Square Garden, expected to draw 1,100–1,200 guests under strict NDAs, has fueled intense trader focus on celebrity attendance. Engagement photos shared in August 2025 launched widespread speculation, while recent June reports highlight the event’s scale and a reported guest list heavy on music-industry peers such as Selena Gomez, Ed Sheeran, Gigi Hadid, and the Haim sisters. Unverified claims of exclusions, including Miles Teller, add uncertainty around final invitations. With the ceremony weeks away and details tightly controlled, market movement will likely hinge on any verified guest confirmations or last-minute venue adjustments that reshape the attendee roster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Max Martin confirmed attending Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding
Max Martin surges to 95%17%
Market data and reports confirmed Max Martin's attendance at the wedding, pushing the market price for his attendance to 95% and above, reflecting high confidence in his presence at the event.
Market prices peak near certainty for Haim sisters and Max Martin attending wedding
Este Haim jumps to 99%11%
Following the wedding, market prices for Este, Danielle, Alana Haim, and Max Martin attending the wedding reached highs near 99%, reflecting confirmed attendance and strong evidence.
Detailed reports reveal star-studded guest list and performances at the wedding
Alana Haim jumps to 90%5%
Multiple sources reported the wedding featured performances by Paul McCartney and Stevie Nicks, and attendance by celebrities including the Haim sisters, Ed Sheeran, Selena Gomez, and others, reinforcing market confidence in these guests' attendance.
Guest confirmations and photos from Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding
Photographic and video evidence confirmed attendance of named guests such as Jack Antonoff, Selena Gomez, Patrick Mahomes, and the Haim sisters, solidifying market resolution.
Tavia Hunt praises Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding as spectacular and perfect
Tavia Hunt, connected to the couple, publicly described the wedding as a beautiful and flawless event, reinforcing positive perceptions and confirming the event's successful execution with all guests present.
Danielle and Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding
Danielle Haim jumps to 91%12%
Danielle and Alana Haim, sisters of Este Haim and longtime friends of Taylor Swift, were confirmed to have attended the wedding, supported by photographic evidence and media reports, driving their market prices to near highs.
Danielle Haim confirmed among guests at Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding
Danielle Haim jumps to 89%9%
Reports and photographic evidence confirmed Danielle Haim's attendance at the wedding, contributing to the market's high confidence and price increase for her attendance.
Alana Haim attends Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding at Madison Square Garden
Alana Haim was spotted and reported among the wedding guests, with media coverage and photos confirming her presence, supporting the market's high valuation for her attendance.
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marry at Madison Square Garden in star-studded ceremony
Alana Haim rises to 99%2%
The wedding took place at Madison Square Garden with around 1,000 guests including Alana Haim, Danielle Haim, and Max Martin. Adam Sandler officiated, and the event featured performances by Paul McCartney and Stevie Nicks. This confirmed the attendance of the Haim sisters and Max Martin, driving market prices to near certainty.
Jack Antonoff Confirmed to Attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding
Jack Antonoff rises to 100%4%
Longtime collaborator Jack Antonoff was confirmed as one of the celebrity guests attending the wedding ceremony at Madison Square Garden.
Selena Gomez Attends Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding
Selena Gomez drops to 88%11%
Selena Gomez was confirmed to be in attendance at the Madison Square Garden wedding, driving her outcome price to its peak.
The Haim Sisters Attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding
Danielle Haim dips to 93%4%
Danielle Haim and Este Haim were confirmed to have attended the wedding ceremony at Madison Square Garden, causing their respective market prices to resolve near their highs.
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marry at Madison Square Garden with star-studded guests
Danielle Haim surges to 99%20%
The wedding took place at Madison Square Garden with about 1,000 attendees, including Danielle Haim, Alana Haim, and Max Martin, confirmed by multiple media reports and photographic evidence, solidifying market confidence.
Max Martin confirmed among guests at Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding
Max Martin jumps to 84%9%
Max Martin's attendance was confirmed at the wedding, with market prices rising to reflect high confidence in his presence at the event.
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marry at Madison Square Garden in star-studded ceremony
Max Martin surges to 85%21%
The wedding took place with about 1,000 guests including the Haim sisters and Max Martin, confirmed by multiple media outlets and photographic evidence, driving market prices to near certainty.
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marry at Madison Square Garden with star-studded guest list
The couple married at Madison Square Garden with about 1,000 guests attending, including celebrities from music, sports, and entertainment. The event featured a black-tie dress code, a no-phone policy, and extensive security. Notable attendees included the Haim sisters, Max Martin, Ed Sheeran, Selena Gomez, and others, while Blake Lively and Kanye West did not attend.
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce marry at Madison Square Garden with star-studded guests
Este Haim jumps to 96%7%
The wedding took place at Madison Square Garden with around 1,000 attendees, including the Haim sisters and Max Martin, confirmed by multiple media reports and photographic evidence, driving market prices for their attendance to near certainty.
Este, Alana, and Danielle Haim confirmed attendees at Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding
Alana Haim rises to 90%2%
The Haim sisters were spotted and reported as attendees at the wedding, confirmed by multiple media outlets and photographic evidence, which caused the market prices for their attendance to rise sharply.
Max Martin attends Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding, confirmed by market and media
Max Martin surges to 95%15%
Max Martin's attendance was confirmed by photographic evidence and media reports, leading to a market price of 95% for his attendance at the wedding.
Max Martin confirmed to have attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding
Max Martin jumps to 80%7%
Reports and market data confirmed Max Martin's attendance at the wedding, contributing to a significant price increase in the market for his attendance outcome.
Este Haim confirms attendance at Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding
Este Haim jumps to 94%6%
Este Haim publicly confirmed attending the wedding at Madison Square Garden and teased a future tell-all, which strongly supported market confidence in her attendance and caused prices to rise near their highs.
Selena Gomez Arrives in New York for Taylor Swift's Wedding Festivities
Selena Gomez rises to 99%4%
Selena Gomez was confirmed to be in New York on July 2 to attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's rehearsal dinner at Madison Square Garden, driving her market price to near certainty.
Reports reveal strict no-phone policy and black-tie dress code for wedding guests
On July 2, 2026, reports emerged that guests attending the wedding at Madison Square Garden would face a strict no-phone policy and a black-tie dress code, emphasizing the couple's desire for privacy and formality.
Rehearsal dinner held at Infosys Theater within Madison Square Garden
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce hosted an intimate rehearsal dinner for about 100 guests at the Infosys Theater inside MSG, setting the stage for the main wedding event and confirming the multi-day celebration plans.
Pre-wedding dinner held at Madison Square Garden with celebrity guests
Alana Haim jumps to 79%9%
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce hosted a rehearsal dinner at MSG with about 100 guests, including music and sports celebrities, confirming the scale and exclusivity of the wedding event.
Sabrina Carpenter and Ed Sheeran spotted in New York ahead of Taylor Swift wedding
Sabrina Carpenter jumps to 93%12%
Sabrina Carpenter and Ed Sheeran were seen in New York City shortly before the wedding, indicating their likely attendance and causing market prices for Sabrina Carpenter to rise.
Pre-wedding dinner held at Madison Square Garden with 100 guests
Danielle Haim surges to 99%17%
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce held a pre-wedding dinner at the Infosys Theatre inside Madison Square Garden, attended by about 100 guests, confirming the scale and seriousness of the wedding plans and increasing market confidence in guest attendance.
Intimate rehearsal dinner held for Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding
An intimate rehearsal dinner took place at Madison Square Garden with close friends and family, confirming preparations for the main wedding event and increasing market confidence in the wedding's occurrence and guest attendance.
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce hold pre-wedding dinner at Madison Square Garden
Alana Haim jumps to 89%10%
Reports confirmed a pre-wedding dinner with about 100 guests at Madison Square Garden, signaling the imminent wedding and supporting expectations of a large, star-studded guest list including the Haim sisters.
Sabrina Carpenter and Ed Sheeran Spotted in New York Ahead of Wedding
Sabrina Carpenter surges to 82%26%
Sabrina Carpenter and Ed Sheeran were spotted in New York City just days before the scheduled July 3 wedding, sparking heavy speculation and driving Carpenter's probability up significantly.
Reports confirm Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding date and large guest list at Madison Square Garden
Multiple sources confirmed the wedding date as July 3, 2026, at Madison Square Garden with over 1,000 guests expected, including celebrities and NFL players, driving market prices for attendance higher.
Preparations and decorations for Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding at Madison Square Garden
Photos and reports showed large-scale preparations at Madison Square Garden, including a garden-themed setup and a castle structure, confirming the venue and increasing market confidence in guest attendance.
Elite event vendors tease major production fueling wedding rumors at Madison Square Garden
Max Martin jumps to 70%6%
Celebrity wedding vendors posted cryptic messages hinting at a major event, fueling rumors of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding at Madison Square Garden. Although one event was clarified as unrelated, the couple's plans for a July 2 rehearsal and July 3 wedding remained, supporting market confidence.
Vendor posts spark rumors of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's early marriage
Celebrity wedding vendors posted cryptic messages on social media fueling speculation that Swift and Kelce had married early, though the event was later clarified not to be their wedding. This increased market interest and speculation about the wedding's timing and guest list.
Reports confirm Selena Gomez attended Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s wedding at Madison Square Garden
Selena Gomez rises to 94%1%
Multiple reports confirmed Selena Gomez attended the wedding on July 3, 2026, at Madison Square Garden, wearing a gold Oscar de la Renta gown, reinforcing market confidence in her attendance.
Wedding vendor posts spark rumors of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s early marriage
Celebrity wedding vendors posted cryptic messages on social media in late June 2026, fueling rumors that Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce had married early. However, wedding planner Marcy Blum clarified the event was not for the couple, maintaining market uncertainty but keeping interest high.
Preparations for Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding underway at Madison Square Garden
Photos and reports showed extensive preparations at Madison Square Garden for the wedding, including delivery of decorations and lighting equipment, confirming the venue and fueling expectations of a large-scale event with about 1,000 guests.
Wedding preparations spotted at Madison Square Garden for Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce
Photos and reports on June 29, 2026, showed vendors unloading lighting equipment and decorations at Madison Square Garden, confirming the venue for the wedding and indicating a large-scale event with strict secrecy.
Celebrity wedding vendors fuel Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce wedding rumors
Max Martin jumps to 75%12%
Vendor social media posts hinted at a major event linked to Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce, increasing speculation about the wedding and its guest list, including Max Martin, though some posts were later clarified as unrelated.
New York City issues event permit for Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce wedding at MSG
Danielle Haim surges to 83%28%
NYC Mayor's office confirmed a permit for a large event at Madison Square Garden from July 2 to July 4, supporting reports of the wedding and boosting market confidence in attendance.
City official confirms Madison Square Garden as wedding venue for Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce
Patrick Mahomes jumps to 92%8%
A city official confirmed that Madison Square Garden is hosting the wedding festivities on July 3, 2026, with street closures and hotel bookings by Kansas City Chiefs members, confirming the venue and increasing market confidence in attendance by Chiefs players.
Reports confirm Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce wedding at Madison Square Garden
Este Haim surges to 69%21%
Multiple sources confirmed the wedding was planned for July 3, 2026, at Madison Square Garden with about 1,000 guests expected, including celebrities and NFL personalities. This news increased market confidence in attendance of key guests.
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce Wedding Rumors for Rhode Island Pass Without Event
Speculation that the couple would marry on June 13, 2026, at the Ocean House in Rhode Island passed with no official ceremony or confirmation, shifting focus to other rumored dates and venues.
Patrick Mahomes spotted in New York amid wedding speculation
Patrick Mahomes jumps to 84%5%
Patrick Mahomes was seen in New York City around the time of the rumored wedding, with social media posts showing him at a restaurant with other Chiefs personnel. This presence near the wedding venue increased market confidence in his attendance at the wedding.
Taylor Swift and Haim sisters appear at Madison Square Garden Knicks game
Este Haim surges to 92%19%
Taylor Swift and the Haim sisters were seen courtside at the Knicks game on June 10, 2026, wearing coordinated Knicks-themed shirts, reinforcing their close relationship and public association, which influenced market prices for the Haim sisters attending the wedding.
Taylor Swift attends Knicks game with Alana and Este Haim, fueling wedding guest speculation
Alana Haim jumps to 79%6%
Taylor Swift was seen at a Knicks game accompanied by Alana and Este Haim, reinforcing speculation about the Haim sisters' close relationship with Swift and their likely attendance at the wedding, which positively affected market prices for Alana and Danielle Haim.
Taylor Swift and Haim sisters wear custom 'Stevie Knicks' shirts at NBA Finals game
Alana Haim surges to 89%33%
Taylor Swift attended the NBA Finals game with Este and Alana Haim, wearing custom pun-themed shirts designed by Alana Haim. This public appearance reinforced the close friendship and collaboration between Swift and the Haim sisters, supporting market confidence in their attendance at the wedding.
Reports confirm Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce to marry in July at Madison Square Garden
Alana Haim surges to 75%26%
Reports emerged that Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce planned to marry on July 3, 2026, at Madison Square Garden, with a large guest list including close friends and sports figures. This news increased market confidence in the wedding occurring and the attendance of key guests like the Haim sisters.
Reports Leak That Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce Will Marry at Madison Square Garden
Yes drops to 73%12%
Page Six and TMZ reported that the couple rented out Madison Square Garden in New York City for a massive wedding celebration over the July 4th weekend, causing odds for key friends to spike.
Suki Waterhouse Confirms She Will Attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding
Yes rises to 85%4%
Singer and actress Suki Waterhouse confirmed her upcoming attendance at the wedding during an interview with Variety, boosting confidence in the guest list.
Jack Antonoff Awkwardly Dodges Taylor Swift Wedding Questions on Today Show
Jack Antonoff rises to 82%1%
During an appearance with his band Bleachers on the Today show, producer Jack Antonoff visibly deflected and laughed off questions from host Craig Melvin about attending any 'big weddings' this summer.
Jack Antonoff awkwardly dodges questions about attending Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s wedding
Jack Antonoff surges to 94%19%
Jack Antonoff, a close collaborator and friend of Taylor Swift, avoided confirming his attendance at the wedding during a live interview, fueling speculation and market confidence that he would attend.
Jack Antonoff dodges questions about attending Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding on Today show
Jack Antonoff surges to 94%45%
Jack Antonoff, a longtime collaborator and close friend of Taylor Swift, avoided confirming his attendance at Swift and Kelce's wedding during a live TV interview, fueling speculation and increasing market prices for his attendance.
Jack Antonoff dodges wedding question on Today Show amid speculation
Jack Antonoff surges to 94%16%
Jack Antonoff, a longtime collaborator and close friend of Taylor Swift, avoided answering questions about attending the wedding during a May 22, 2026, appearance on NBC's Today Show, fueling speculation about his attendance.
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding overshadows major July 4 party
Danielle Haim surges to 76%26%
Reports emerged that Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding would be a major July event, causing other high-profile parties to reschedule, highlighting the wedding's significance and expected star-studded guest list, including the Haim sisters.
Taylor Swift struggles with pre-wedding nerves after leak of wedding details
Reports emerged that Taylor Swift was experiencing pre-wedding nerves due to leaked sensitive details about her planned marriage to Travis Kelce, highlighting the couple's efforts to keep the wedding private and intensifying public interest in the event.
Este Haim marries Jonathan Levin with Taylor Swift and Stevie Nicks attending
Este Haim surges to 93%45%
Este Haim’s wedding on New Year’s Eve 2025 was a star-studded event attended by Taylor Swift and Stevie Nicks, confirming Este Haim’s close ties to Swift and supporting market expectations of her attendance at Swift’s wedding.
Taylor Swift attends Este Haim's New Year's Eve wedding in California
Este Haim surges to 93%45%
Taylor Swift attended the New Year's Eve wedding of her close friend Este Haim in California, wearing a gold sequin gown. This event highlighted Swift's close relationship with the Haim sisters, boosting market confidence in the attendance of Este, Danielle, and Alana Haim at Swift's own wedding.
Este Haim Marries Jonathan Levin in Star-Studded New Year's Eve Wedding
Este Haim surges to 72%23%
Este Haim married tech entrepreneur Jonathan Levin in Ojai, California, with her sisters Danielle and Alana Haim serving as bridesmaids. Taylor Swift attended the wedding, which boosted the profile of the Haim sisters in relation to Swift's inner circle.
Reports emerge of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding secrecy and NDA requirements
Reports indicated that Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce were planning their wedding under tight secrecy with around 1,000 guests asked to sign NDAs, and strict privacy measures were expected. This fueled speculation about the scale and confidentiality of the event, impacting market expectations for guest attendance.
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