Ongoing investigations into former U.S. intelligence officials, including John Brennan, and immigration enforcement actions against figures like Mahmoud Khalil continue to shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Congressional scrutiny, Senate hearings on pandemic-related matters, and potential contempt proceedings tied to prior testimony represent key near-term catalysts before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Broader enforcement patterns, such as federal fraud cases and protest-related detentions, underscore active prosecutorial tools that could affect listed individuals. Low implied probabilities for most outcomes reflect the high bar for arrests of prominent figures in the limited remaining timeframe, with trader consensus assigning the greatest near-term risk to those already under documented legal exposure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于谁将在2027年之前被捕？
谁将在2027年之前被捕？
$385,244 交易量
安东尼·福奇
11%
约翰·布伦南
24%
何塞·路易斯·罗德里格斯·萨帕特罗
17%
亚当·希夫
3%
巴拉克·奥巴马
2%
詹姆斯·科米
6%
马哈茂德·哈利勒
29%
詹姆斯·克拉珀
12%
莱蒂蒂娅·詹姆斯
13%
希拉里·克林顿
3%
比尔·克林顿
2%
洛雷塔·林奇
10%
苏珊·赖斯
9%
坎迪斯·欧文斯
7%
加文·纽森
3%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
5%
约翰·克里
2%
Pam Bondi
2%
托姆·霍曼
9%
卡什·帕特尔
3%
布兰登·约翰逊
13%
丽莎·库克
8%
李俊锡
11%
乔·拜登
2%
$385,244 交易量
安东尼·福奇
$147,409 交易量
11%
约翰·布伦南
$20,678 交易量
24%
何塞·路易斯·罗德里格斯·萨帕特罗
$21,892 交易量
17%
亚当·希夫
$16,402 交易量
3%
巴拉克·奥巴马
$29,104 交易量
2%
詹姆斯·科米
$9,716 交易量
6%
马哈茂德·哈利勒
$1,308 交易量
29%
詹姆斯·克拉珀
$6,726 交易量
12%
莱蒂蒂娅·詹姆斯
$2,908 交易量
13%
希拉里·克林顿
$25,109 交易量
3%
比尔·克林顿
$2,548 交易量
2%
洛雷塔·林奇
$2,376 交易量
10%
苏珊·赖斯
$304 交易量
9%
坎迪斯·欧文斯
$268 交易量
7%
加文·纽森
$38,824 交易量
3%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
$1,923 交易量
5%
约翰·克里
$501 交易量
2%
Pam Bondi
$2,017 交易量
2%
托姆·霍曼
$39,937 交易量
9%
卡什·帕特尔
$559 交易量
3%
布兰登·约翰逊
$3,197 交易量
13%
丽莎·库克
$3,363 交易量
8%
李俊锡
$794 交易量
11%
乔·拜登
$7,381 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing investigations into former U.S. intelligence officials, including John Brennan, and immigration enforcement actions against figures like Mahmoud Khalil continue to shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Congressional scrutiny, Senate hearings on pandemic-related matters, and potential contempt proceedings tied to prior testimony represent key near-term catalysts before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Broader enforcement patterns, such as federal fraud cases and protest-related detentions, underscore active prosecutorial tools that could affect listed individuals. Low implied probabilities for most outcomes reflect the high bar for arrests of prominent figures in the limited remaining timeframe, with trader consensus assigning the greatest near-term risk to those already under documented legal exposure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$385,244市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing investigations into former U.S. intelligence officials, including John Brennan, and immigration enforcement actions against figures like Mahmoud Khalil continue to shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Congressional scrutiny, Senate hearings on pandemic-related matters, and potential contempt proceedings tied to prior testimony represent key near-term catalysts before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Broader enforcement patterns, such as federal fraud cases and protest-related detentions, underscore active prosecutorial tools that could affect listed individuals. Low implied probabilities for most outcomes reflect the high bar for arrests of prominent figures in the limited remaining timeframe, with trader consensus assigning the greatest near-term risk to those already under documented legal exposure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$385,244市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing investigations into former U.S. intelligence officials, including John Brennan, and immigration enforcement actions against figures like Mahmoud Khalil continue to shape trader focus in this multi-outcome market. Congressional scrutiny, Senate hearings on pandemic-related matters, and potential contempt proceedings tied to prior testimony represent key near-term catalysts before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Broader enforcement patterns, such as federal fraud cases and protest-related detentions, underscore active prosecutorial tools that could affect listed individuals. Low implied probabilities for most outcomes reflect the high bar for arrests of prominent figures in the limited remaining timeframe, with trader consensus assigning the greatest near-term risk to those already under documented legal exposure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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