Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 44 percent owing to his six-year tenure as IAEA director general and demonstrated ability to engage the permanent Security Council members whose vetoes shape any appointment. Recent interactive dialogues in April 2026 allowed him to outline priorities for a streamlined United Nations, reinforcing perceptions of operational competence ahead of informal straw polls. Maria Fernanda Espinosa and Rebeca Grynspan follow at 21 and 17 percent, respectively, reflecting their prior General Assembly and UNCTAD roles plus regional backing within the Latin American and Caribbean group. Michelle Bachelet holds 13 percent on the strength of her human-rights and presidential record, while calls for the first female secretary-general keep longer-shot names such as Jacinda Ardern in play. The Security Council’s closed consultations scheduled for coming months remain the decisive next step.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于拉斐尔·格罗西 50%
玛丽亚·费尔南达·埃斯皮诺萨·加尔塞斯 21.1%
雷贝卡·格林斯潘 16.9%
米歇尔·巴切莱特 8.1%
$60,794 交易量
$60,794 交易量
拉斐尔·格罗西
43%
玛丽亚·费尔南达·埃斯皮诺萨·加尔塞斯
21%
雷贝卡·格林斯潘
17%
米歇尔·巴切莱特
13%
杰辛达·阿德恩
3%
Bruno Donat
1%
大卫·乔克万卡
<1%
武克·耶雷米奇
<1%
米娅·莫特利
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
<1%
艾丽西亚·巴尔塞纳
<1%
克里斯塔利娜·格奥尔基耶娃
<1%
阿米娜·穆罕默德
<1%
阿希姆·施泰纳
<1%
拉斐尔·格罗西 50%
玛丽亚·费尔南达·埃斯皮诺萨·加尔塞斯 21.1%
雷贝卡·格林斯潘 16.9%
米歇尔·巴切莱特 8.1%
$60,794 交易量
$60,794 交易量
拉斐尔·格罗西
43%
玛丽亚·费尔南达·埃斯皮诺萨·加尔塞斯
21%
雷贝卡·格林斯潘
17%
米歇尔·巴切莱特
13%
杰辛达·阿德恩
3%
Bruno Donat
1%
大卫·乔克万卡
<1%
武克·耶雷米奇
<1%
米娅·莫特利
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
<1%
艾丽西亚·巴尔塞纳
<1%
克里斯塔利娜·格奥尔基耶娃
<1%
阿米娜·穆罕默德
<1%
阿希姆·施泰纳
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 44 percent owing to his six-year tenure as IAEA director general and demonstrated ability to engage the permanent Security Council members whose vetoes shape any appointment. Recent interactive dialogues in April 2026 allowed him to outline priorities for a streamlined United Nations, reinforcing perceptions of operational competence ahead of informal straw polls. Maria Fernanda Espinosa and Rebeca Grynspan follow at 21 and 17 percent, respectively, reflecting their prior General Assembly and UNCTAD roles plus regional backing within the Latin American and Caribbean group. Michelle Bachelet holds 13 percent on the strength of her human-rights and presidential record, while calls for the first female secretary-general keep longer-shot names such as Jacinda Ardern in play. The Security Council’s closed consultations scheduled for coming months remain the decisive next step.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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