Speculation about possible retirements by aging conservative justices like Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, yet no vacancy has materialized by mid-2026. With a wide field of Trump-appointed circuit judges and Republican senators under consideration—including James Ho, Neomi Rao, Andrew Oldham, Amul Thapar, Patrick Bumatay, Steven Menashi, Aileen Cannon, Gregory Katsas, John Sauer, Mike Lee, and Ted Cruz—the market reflects broad uncertainty over the president's eventual choice and Senate confirmation dynamics. Recent end-of-term retirement chatter and ongoing judicial writings have kept probabilities tightly clustered, as no single candidate has received decisive public signals. A formal retirement announcement, targeted presidential endorsement, or shifting Senate priorities could quickly differentiate leading contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于谁将成为下一个被提名为SCOTUS Justice的特朗普管理员？
谁将成为下一个被提名为SCOTUS Justice的特朗普管理员？
艾琳·坎农 14%
詹姆斯·何 14%
Neomi Rao 14%
安德鲁·奥德哈姆 12%
最新
最新
2029-01-19
约翰·索尔
10%
迈克·李
8%
特德·克鲁兹
10%
安德鲁·奥德哈姆
12%
艾琳·坎农
14%
詹姆斯·何
14%
Neomi Rao
14%
格雷戈里·卡茨
8%
帕特里克·布马泰
13%
史蒂文·梅纳希
14%
阿穆尔·塔帕尔
8%
艾琳·坎农 14%
詹姆斯·何 14%
Neomi Rao 14%
安德鲁·奥德哈姆 12%
最新
最新
2029-01-19
约翰·索尔
$55 交易量
10%
迈克·李
$66 交易量
8%
特德·克鲁兹
$70 交易量
10%
安德鲁·奥德哈姆
$245 交易量
12%
艾琳·坎农
$58 交易量
14%
詹姆斯·何
$49 交易量
14%
Neomi Rao
$72 交易量
14%
格雷戈里·卡茨
$53 交易量
8%
帕特里克·布马泰
$42 交易量
13%
史蒂文·梅纳希
$67 交易量
14%
阿穆尔·塔帕尔
$43 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Speculation about possible retirements by aging conservative justices like Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, yet no vacancy has materialized by mid-2026. With a wide field of Trump-appointed circuit judges and Republican senators under consideration—including James Ho, Neomi Rao, Andrew Oldham, Amul Thapar, Patrick Bumatay, Steven Menashi, Aileen Cannon, Gregory Katsas, John Sauer, Mike Lee, and Ted Cruz—the market reflects broad uncertainty over the president's eventual choice and Senate confirmation dynamics. Recent end-of-term retirement chatter and ongoing judicial writings have kept probabilities tightly clustered, as no single candidate has received decisive public signals. A formal retirement announcement, targeted presidential endorsement, or shifting Senate priorities could quickly differentiate leading contenders.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
交易量
$820结束日期
2029-01-19市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Speculation about possible retirements by aging conservative justices like Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, yet no vacancy has materialized by mid-2026. With a wide field of Trump-appointed circuit judges and Republican senators under consideration—including James Ho, Neomi Rao, Andrew Oldham, Amul Thapar, Patrick Bumatay, Steven Menashi, Aileen Cannon, Gregory Katsas, John Sauer, Mike Lee, and Ted Cruz—the market reflects broad uncertainty over the president's eventual choice and Senate confirmation dynamics. Recent end-of-term retirement chatter and ongoing judicial writings have kept probabilities tightly clustered, as no single candidate has received decisive public signals. A formal retirement announcement, targeted presidential endorsement, or shifting Senate priorities could quickly differentiate leading contenders.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order.
If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$820结束日期
2029-01-19市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Speculation about possible retirements by aging conservative justices like Clarence Thomas or Samuel Alito continues to shape trader views on the next Trump administration Supreme Court nomination, yet no vacancy has materialized by mid-2026. With a wide field of Trump-appointed circuit judges and Republican senators under consideration—including James Ho, Neomi Rao, Andrew Oldham, Amul Thapar, Patrick Bumatay, Steven Menashi, Aileen Cannon, Gregory Katsas, John Sauer, Mike Lee, and Ted Cruz—the market reflects broad uncertainty over the president's eventual choice and Senate confirmation dynamics. Recent end-of-term retirement chatter and ongoing judicial writings have kept probabilities tightly clustered, as no single candidate has received decisive public signals. A formal retirement announcement, targeted presidential endorsement, or shifting Senate priorities could quickly differentiate leading contenders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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