Recent Pentagon leadership turnover has kept the Army secretary market tight, with Dan Driscoll’s late-August resignation after reported clashes with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth opening the field. Trump’s quick appointment of Adam Telle as acting secretary bypassed the usual undersecretary succession and highlighted internal competition among Senate-confirmed officials, Pentagon spokespeople, and congressional veterans. Trader prices remain clustered because no permanent nominee has been announced, Senate confirmation dynamics are unresolved, and backers for candidates such as Sean Parnell, Marc Andersen, and Brian Mast continue to maneuver behind the scenes. A formal White House nomination, Senate Armed Services Committee signals, or additional senior departures could quickly shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Sean Parnell 30%
W. Jordan Gillis 25%
Brian Mast 14%
Marc Andersen 13%
最新
最新
2029-01-19
Sean Parnell
36%
W. Jordan Gillis
25%
Brian Mast
14%
Marc Andersen
13%
Charles Young III
10%
Brent Ingraham
8%
迈克尔·奥巴达尔
24%
Adam Telle
43%
Sean Parnell 30%
W. Jordan Gillis 25%
Brian Mast 14%
Marc Andersen 13%
最新
最新
2029-01-19
Sean Parnell
$46 交易量
36%
W. Jordan Gillis
$26 交易量
25%
Brian Mast
$26 交易量
14%
Marc Andersen
$26 交易量
13%
Charles Young III
$26 交易量
10%
Brent Ingraham
$116 交易量
8%
迈克尔·奥巴达尔
$26 交易量
24%
Adam Telle
$66 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Pentagon leadership turnover has kept the Army secretary market tight, with Dan Driscoll’s late-August resignation after reported clashes with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth opening the field. Trump’s quick appointment of Adam Telle as acting secretary bypassed the usual undersecretary succession and highlighted internal competition among Senate-confirmed officials, Pentagon spokespeople, and congressional veterans. Trader prices remain clustered because no permanent nominee has been announced, Senate confirmation dynamics are unresolved, and backers for candidates such as Sean Parnell, Marc Andersen, and Brian Mast continue to maneuver behind the scenes. A formal White House nomination, Senate Armed Services Committee signals, or additional senior departures could quickly shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET
交易量
$358结束日期
2029-01-19市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Pentagon leadership turnover has kept the Army secretary market tight, with Dan Driscoll’s late-August resignation after reported clashes with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth opening the field. Trump’s quick appointment of Adam Telle as acting secretary bypassed the usual undersecretary succession and highlighted internal competition among Senate-confirmed officials, Pentagon spokespeople, and congressional veterans. Trader prices remain clustered because no permanent nominee has been announced, Senate confirmation dynamics are unresolved, and backers for candidates such as Sean Parnell, Marc Andersen, and Brian Mast continue to maneuver behind the scenes. A formal White House nomination, Senate Armed Services Committee signals, or additional senior departures could quickly shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$358结束日期
2029-01-19市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ETRecent Pentagon leadership turnover has kept the Army secretary market tight, with Dan Driscoll’s late-August resignation after reported clashes with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth opening the field. Trump’s quick appointment of Adam Telle as acting secretary bypassed the usual undersecretary succession and highlighted internal competition among Senate-confirmed officials, Pentagon spokespeople, and congressional veterans. Trader prices remain clustered because no permanent nominee has been announced, Senate confirmation dynamics are unresolved, and backers for candidates such as Sean Parnell, Marc Andersen, and Brian Mast continue to maneuver behind the scenes. A formal White House nomination, Senate Armed Services Committee signals, or additional senior departures could quickly shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
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