Ilia Topuria’s dominant run as the undisputed lightweight champion, capped by a first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in mid-2025 and an undefeated record, underpins his commanding 76.5% implied probability to hold the title through the end of 2026. The 28-year-old’s power punching and recent move up from featherweight have established him as the division’s clear frontrunner, with his planned June unification bout against interim champion Justin Gaethje and a potential year-end return further solidifying trader consensus. Gaethje’s veteran experience and interim reign account for his 8.6% share, while Arman Tsarukyan and Benoît Saint Denis sit lower due to inconsistent recent form and longer paths to title contention. Topuria’s personal hiatus through early 2026 introduces some uncertainty, yet the market reflects the stark advantage held by the current titleholder amid a deep but unsettled 155-pound landscape.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于伊利亚·托普里亚 78%
贾斯汀·盖奇 9.3%
阿尔曼·萨鲁基扬 3.5%
查尔斯·奥利维拉 1.3%
$23,710 交易量
$23,710 交易量
伊利亚·托普里亚
78%
阿尔曼·萨鲁基扬
4%
查尔斯·奥利维拉
1%
马克斯·霍洛威
<1%
贾斯汀·盖奇
9%
帕迪·皮姆布雷特
<1%
丹·胡克
1%
马特乌什·加姆罗特
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
1%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
雷纳托·莫伊卡诺
<1%
伊利亚·托普里亚 78%
贾斯汀·盖奇 9.3%
阿尔曼·萨鲁基扬 3.5%
查尔斯·奥利维拉 1.3%
$23,710 交易量
$23,710 交易量
伊利亚·托普里亚
78%
阿尔曼·萨鲁基扬
4%
查尔斯·奥利维拉
1%
马克斯·霍洛威
<1%
贾斯汀·盖奇
9%
帕迪·皮姆布雷特
<1%
丹·胡克
1%
马特乌什·加姆罗特
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
1%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
雷纳托·莫伊卡诺
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ilia Topuria’s dominant run as the undisputed lightweight champion, capped by a first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in mid-2025 and an undefeated record, underpins his commanding 76.5% implied probability to hold the title through the end of 2026. The 28-year-old’s power punching and recent move up from featherweight have established him as the division’s clear frontrunner, with his planned June unification bout against interim champion Justin Gaethje and a potential year-end return further solidifying trader consensus. Gaethje’s veteran experience and interim reign account for his 8.6% share, while Arman Tsarukyan and Benoît Saint Denis sit lower due to inconsistent recent form and longer paths to title contention. Topuria’s personal hiatus through early 2026 introduces some uncertainty, yet the market reflects the stark advantage held by the current titleholder amid a deep but unsettled 155-pound landscape.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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