Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since January 2025, issuing full pardons or commutations to over 1,700 individuals by mid-2026. Early actions included blanket relief for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants and high-profile grants to figures such as Ross Ulbricht. Subsequent batches in 2026 covered white-collar offenders, including George Santos and Stephen Buyer in June, plus groups tied to Clean Air Act violations and other fraud cases in July. Trader assessments center on patterns of donor influence, ally advocacy, and executive discretion, with remaining resolution windows through 2026 shaped by ongoing applications, Senate dynamics, and any scheduled announcements before the market cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$419,695 交易量
瑞安·萨拉梅
47%
丹尼尔·佩尼
22%
马特·盖茨
21%
史蒂夫·班农
17%
Keonne Rodriguez
17%
罗杰·斯通
14%
斯蒂芬·布罗迪
14%
唐纳德·布罗迪
14%
罗杰·维尔
10%
乔·埃克索蒂克
9%
埃里克·亚当斯
9%
马丁·施克雷利
7%
朱利安·阿桑奇
6%
鲍勃·梅嫩德斯
6%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
6%
Diddy
6%
Young Thug
6%
他自己
5%
德里克·肖万
5%
安德鲁·泰特
5%
爱德华·斯诺登
5%
伊丽莎白·霍姆斯
4%
萨姆·班克曼-弗里德
4%
吉斯莱恩·麦克斯韦尔
4%
Do Kwon
4%
亨特·拜登
3%
安托万·马西
2%
埃隆·马斯克
2%
$419,695 交易量
瑞安·萨拉梅
47%
丹尼尔·佩尼
22%
马特·盖茨
21%
史蒂夫·班农
17%
Keonne Rodriguez
17%
罗杰·斯通
14%
斯蒂芬·布罗迪
14%
唐纳德·布罗迪
14%
罗杰·维尔
10%
乔·埃克索蒂克
9%
埃里克·亚当斯
9%
马丁·施克雷利
7%
朱利安·阿桑奇
6%
鲍勃·梅嫩德斯
6%
尼古拉斯·马杜罗
6%
Diddy
6%
Young Thug
6%
他自己
5%
德里克·肖万
5%
安德鲁·泰特
5%
爱德华·斯诺登
5%
伊丽莎白·霍姆斯
4%
萨姆·班克曼-弗里德
4%
吉斯莱恩·麦克斯韦尔
4%
Do Kwon
4%
亨特·拜登
3%
安托万·马西
2%
埃隆·马斯克
2%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since January 2025, issuing full pardons or commutations to over 1,700 individuals by mid-2026. Early actions included blanket relief for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants and high-profile grants to figures such as Ross Ulbricht. Subsequent batches in 2026 covered white-collar offenders, including George Santos and Stephen Buyer in June, plus groups tied to Clean Air Act violations and other fraud cases in July. Trader assessments center on patterns of donor influence, ally advocacy, and executive discretion, with remaining resolution windows through 2026 shaped by ongoing applications, Senate dynamics, and any scheduled announcements before the market cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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