Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People’s Liberation Army has driven successive investigations and removals of senior officers, including the January 2026 probes into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli. These actions followed the October 2025 expulsions of He Weidong and Miao Hua, reducing the active-duty CMC to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin while affecting over 100 senior positions since 2022. Primary factors shaping trader views for 2026 include the pattern of targeting networks perceived as insufficiently loyal, the resulting command vacancies ahead of the 2027 modernization milestone, and signals from annual gatherings such as the National People’s Congress on whether further civilian or military figures face scrutiny.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$157,290 交易量
2026-12-31
董军
8%
王毅
7%
王沪宁
6%
张升民
5%
丁薛祥
5%
赵乐际
5%
李强
5%
蔡奇
4%
李希
1%
$157,290 交易量
董军
$31,499 交易量
8%
王毅
$11,781 交易量
7%
王沪宁
$10,095 交易量
6%
张升民
$19,809 交易量
5%
丁薛祥
$13,496 交易量
5%
赵乐际
$6,881 交易量
5%
李强
$5,529 交易量
5%
蔡奇
$33,828 交易量
4%
李希
$24,382 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People’s Liberation Army has driven successive investigations and removals of senior officers, including the January 2026 probes into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli. These actions followed the October 2025 expulsions of He Weidong and Miao Hua, reducing the active-duty CMC to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin while affecting over 100 senior positions since 2022. Primary factors shaping trader views for 2026 include the pattern of targeting networks perceived as insufficiently loyal, the resulting command vacancies ahead of the 2027 modernization milestone, and signals from annual gatherings such as the National People’s Congress on whether further civilian or military figures face scrutiny.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
交易量
$157,290结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People’s Liberation Army has driven successive investigations and removals of senior officers, including the January 2026 probes into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli. These actions followed the October 2025 expulsions of He Weidong and Miao Hua, reducing the active-duty CMC to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin while affecting over 100 senior positions since 2022. Primary factors shaping trader views for 2026 include the pattern of targeting networks perceived as insufficiently loyal, the resulting command vacancies ahead of the 2027 modernization milestone, and signals from annual gatherings such as the National People’s Congress on whether further civilian or military figures face scrutiny.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$157,290结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People’s Liberation Army has driven successive investigations and removals of senior officers, including the January 2026 probes into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli. These actions followed the October 2025 expulsions of He Weidong and Miao Hua, reducing the active-duty CMC to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin while affecting over 100 senior positions since 2022. Primary factors shaping trader views for 2026 include the pattern of targeting networks perceived as insufficiently loyal, the resulting command vacancies ahead of the 2027 modernization milestone, and signals from annual gatherings such as the National People’s Congress on whether further civilian or military figures face scrutiny.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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