Mark Pocan’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic Wisconsin 2nd district, which encompasses Madison and surrounding areas, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.9%. The seat delivered Pocan 70% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters have consistently rated the 2026 contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Pocan’s recent primary victory on August 11 further cements his position with no competitive Republican challenger emerging. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, a national political realignment producing an unusually strong Republican wave, or an unusually late surge in opposition fundraising and turnout that narrows the historical margin in this low-competition district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$99,824 交易量
$99,824 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$99,824 交易量
$99,824 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$60,543 交易量
96%
共和党
$39,281 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic Wisconsin 2nd district, which encompasses Madison and surrounding areas, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.9%. The seat delivered Pocan 70% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters have consistently rated the 2026 contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Pocan’s recent primary victory on August 11 further cements his position with no competitive Republican challenger emerging. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, a national political realignment producing an unusually strong Republican wave, or an unusually late surge in opposition fundraising and turnout that narrows the historical margin in this low-competition district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$99,824结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic Wisconsin 2nd district, which encompasses Madison and surrounding areas, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.9%. The seat delivered Pocan 70% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters have consistently rated the 2026 contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Pocan’s recent primary victory on August 11 further cements his position with no competitive Republican challenger emerging. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, a national political realignment producing an unusually strong Republican wave, or an unusually late surge in opposition fundraising and turnout that narrows the historical margin in this low-competition district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$99,824结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan’s incumbency in the solidly Democratic Wisconsin 2nd district, which encompasses Madison and surrounding areas, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.9%. The seat delivered Pocan 70% of the vote in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters have consistently rated the 2026 contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Pocan’s recent primary victory on August 11 further cements his position with no competitive Republican challenger emerging. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, a national political realignment producing an unusually strong Republican wave, or an unusually late surge in opposition fundraising and turnout that narrows the historical margin in this low-competition district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题