The Republican nominee holds a strong lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and analyst ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Incumbent Tony Wied, who captured 57.3 percent in the 2024 general election, faces no primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. On the Democratic side, four candidates remain in an August 11 primary with no clear frontrunner or significant national investment yet evident. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, underpin traders’ consensus that a Republican victory remains the most probable outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
78%
民主党
21%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,974 交易量
78%
民主党
$3,384 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and analyst ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Incumbent Tony Wied, who captured 57.3 percent in the 2024 general election, faces no primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. On the Democratic side, four candidates remain in an August 11 primary with no clear frontrunner or significant national investment yet evident. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, underpin traders’ consensus that a Republican victory remains the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$7,358结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and analyst ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Incumbent Tony Wied, who captured 57.3 percent in the 2024 general election, faces no primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. On the Democratic side, four candidates remain in an August 11 primary with no clear frontrunner or significant national investment yet evident. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, underpin traders’ consensus that a Republican victory remains the most probable outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,358结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a strong lead in the WI-08 race due to the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and analyst ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Incumbent Tony Wied, who captured 57.3 percent in the 2024 general election, faces no primary opposition and benefits from established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. On the Democratic side, four candidates remain in an August 11 primary with no clear frontrunner or significant national investment yet evident. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate dynamics, underpin traders’ consensus that a Republican victory remains the most probable outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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