Republican incumbent Tony Wied holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index, combined with Wied’s 57% victory in the 2024 special election and unopposed primary win, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Rick Crosson, who narrowly won his primary. A Democrat has not carried the northeastern Wisconsin seat since 2008. Late developments such as a significant national shift in midterm sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout in the Green Bay area, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such movement unlikely before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,206 交易量
$21,206 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
92%
民主党
9%
$21,206 交易量
$21,206 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$14,017 交易量
92%
民主党
$7,189 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tony Wied holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index, combined with Wied’s 57% victory in the 2024 special election and unopposed primary win, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Rick Crosson, who narrowly won his primary. A Democrat has not carried the northeastern Wisconsin seat since 2008. Late developments such as a significant national shift in midterm sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout in the Green Bay area, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such movement unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$21,206结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tony Wied holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index, combined with Wied’s 57% victory in the 2024 special election and unopposed primary win, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Rick Crosson, who narrowly won his primary. A Democrat has not carried the northeastern Wisconsin seat since 2008. Late developments such as a significant national shift in midterm sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout in the Green Bay area, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such movement unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,206结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRepublican incumbent Tony Wied holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District race, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. The district’s R+8 partisan voting index, combined with Wied’s 57% victory in the 2024 special election and unopposed primary win, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election against Democrat Rick Crosson, who narrowly won his primary. A Democrat has not carried the northeastern Wisconsin seat since 2008. Late developments such as a significant national shift in midterm sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout in the Green Bay area, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such movement unlikely before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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