Anthropic’s June 1 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, followed by reports targeting a September or October 2026 debut, has driven the 87.5% market-implied odds that it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. The company recently closed a $65 billion Series H at a $965 billion post-money valuation and lined up major underwriters, positioning it for a faster regulatory review cycle. In contrast, OpenAI filed its own draft registration days later but has since signaled a potential shift to 2027 amid internal deliberations and a desire to complete additional milestones as a private entity. Traders appear to view Anthropic’s clearer near-term path and momentum in revenue and funding as decisive swing factors, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and SEC feedback.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
89% 概率
$291,124 交易量
$291,124 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
89% 概率
$291,124 交易量
$291,124 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 1 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, followed by reports targeting a September or October 2026 debut, has driven the 87.5% market-implied odds that it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. The company recently closed a $65 billion Series H at a $965 billion post-money valuation and lined up major underwriters, positioning it for a faster regulatory review cycle. In contrast, OpenAI filed its own draft registration days later but has since signaled a potential shift to 2027 amid internal deliberations and a desire to complete additional milestones as a private entity. Traders appear to view Anthropic’s clearer near-term path and momentum in revenue and funding as decisive swing factors, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and SEC feedback.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$291,124结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 1 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, followed by reports targeting a September or October 2026 debut, has driven the 87.5% market-implied odds that it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. The company recently closed a $65 billion Series H at a $965 billion post-money valuation and lined up major underwriters, positioning it for a faster regulatory review cycle. In contrast, OpenAI filed its own draft registration days later but has since signaled a potential shift to 2027 amid internal deliberations and a desire to complete additional milestones as a private entity. Traders appear to view Anthropic’s clearer near-term path and momentum in revenue and funding as decisive swing factors, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and SEC feedback.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$291,124结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 1 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, followed by reports targeting a September or October 2026 debut, has driven the 87.5% market-implied odds that it will IPO ahead of OpenAI. The company recently closed a $65 billion Series H at a $965 billion post-money valuation and lined up major underwriters, positioning it for a faster regulatory review cycle. In contrast, OpenAI filed its own draft registration days later but has since signaled a potential shift to 2027 amid internal deliberations and a desire to complete additional milestones as a private entity. Traders appear to view Anthropic’s clearer near-term path and momentum in revenue and funding as decisive swing factors, though both timelines remain subject to market conditions and SEC feedback.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题