Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and its targeting of a fall IPO window as early as September or October underpin the strong market-implied odds favoring it to list first. The Claude developer raised $65 billion in May at a $965 billion valuation and has lined up major banks, positioning its large language model business ahead in the regulatory process. In contrast, OpenAI filed shortly after but has signaled a potential delay to 2027, citing preferences for remaining private to complete strategic initiatives amid its ChatGPT-driven growth. This timeline gap, combined with Anthropic's momentum in enterprise AI adoption and capital raises, shapes trader consensus around the near-term catalysts of filing progress and earnings visibility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
88% 概率
$290,090 交易量
$290,090 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
88% 概率
$290,090 交易量
$290,090 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and its targeting of a fall IPO window as early as September or October underpin the strong market-implied odds favoring it to list first. The Claude developer raised $65 billion in May at a $965 billion valuation and has lined up major banks, positioning its large language model business ahead in the regulatory process. In contrast, OpenAI filed shortly after but has signaled a potential delay to 2027, citing preferences for remaining private to complete strategic initiatives amid its ChatGPT-driven growth. This timeline gap, combined with Anthropic's momentum in enterprise AI adoption and capital raises, shapes trader consensus around the near-term catalysts of filing progress and earnings visibility.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$290,090结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and its targeting of a fall IPO window as early as September or October underpin the strong market-implied odds favoring it to list first. The Claude developer raised $65 billion in May at a $965 billion valuation and has lined up major banks, positioning its large language model business ahead in the regulatory process. In contrast, OpenAI filed shortly after but has signaled a potential delay to 2027, citing preferences for remaining private to complete strategic initiatives amid its ChatGPT-driven growth. This timeline gap, combined with Anthropic's momentum in enterprise AI adoption and capital raises, shapes trader consensus around the near-term catalysts of filing progress and earnings visibility.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$290,090结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and its targeting of a fall IPO window as early as September or October underpin the strong market-implied odds favoring it to list first. The Claude developer raised $65 billion in May at a $965 billion valuation and has lined up major banks, positioning its large language model business ahead in the regulatory process. In contrast, OpenAI filed shortly after but has signaled a potential delay to 2027, citing preferences for remaining private to complete strategic initiatives amid its ChatGPT-driven growth. This timeline gap, combined with Anthropic's momentum in enterprise AI adoption and capital raises, shapes trader consensus around the near-term catalysts of filing progress and earnings visibility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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