Recent forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season from Colorado State University and Tropical Storm Risk project near- or below-average activity, with only two major hurricanes expected amid neutral to weak La Niña conditions. Category 5 status on the Saffir-Simpson scale requires sustained winds of at least 157 mph, a threshold reached by just five U.S. landfalls since 1900, the most recent being Hurricane Michael in 2018. The 2025 season produced three Category 5 storms yet none reached the U.S. coastline, underscoring the role of steering patterns in preventing landfall. NOAA’s official 2026 outlook, scheduled for release on May 21, will provide updated model guidance on intensification potential and landfall windows before the June 1 start. These factors align with trader consensus that conditions favor no Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$135,286 交易量
$135,286 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$135,286 交易量
$135,286 交易量
2026-12-31
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.Recent forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season from Colorado State University and Tropical Storm Risk project near- or below-average activity, with only two major hurricanes expected amid neutral to weak La Niña conditions. Category 5 status on the Saffir-Simpson scale requires sustained winds of at least 157 mph, a threshold reached by just five U.S. landfalls since 1900, the most recent being Hurricane Michael in 2018. The 2025 season produced three Category 5 storms yet none reached the U.S. coastline, underscoring the role of steering patterns in preventing landfall. NOAA’s official 2026 outlook, scheduled for release on May 21, will provide updated model guidance on intensification potential and landfall windows before the June 1 start. These factors align with trader consensus that conditions favor no Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
市场开放时间： Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$135,286结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.Recent forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season from Colorado State University and Tropical Storm Risk project near- or below-average activity, with only two major hurricanes expected amid neutral to weak La Niña conditions. Category 5 status on the Saffir-Simpson scale requires sustained winds of at least 157 mph, a threshold reached by just five U.S. landfalls since 1900, the most recent being Hurricane Michael in 2018. The 2025 season produced three Category 5 storms yet none reached the U.S. coastline, underscoring the role of steering patterns in preventing landfall. NOAA’s official 2026 outlook, scheduled for release on May 21, will provide updated model guidance on intensification potential and landfall windows before the June 1 start. These factors align with trader consensus that conditions favor no Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027.
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement. However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
交易量
$135,286结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 31, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season from Colorado State University and Tropical Storm Risk project near- or below-average activity, with only two major hurricanes expected amid neutral to weak La Niña conditions. Category 5 status on the Saffir-Simpson scale requires sustained winds of at least 157 mph, a threshold reached by just five U.S. landfalls since 1900, the most recent being Hurricane Michael in 2018. The 2025 season produced three Category 5 storms yet none reached the U.S. coastline, underscoring the role of steering patterns in preventing landfall. NOAA’s official 2026 outlook, scheduled for release on May 21, will provide updated model guidance on intensification potential and landfall windows before the June 1 start. These factors align with trader consensus that conditions favor no Category 5 U.S. landfall before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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