Recent comments from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on ABC's This Week, where she stated she has not ruled out either a 2028 presidential bid or a challenge to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, have reinforced trader positioning. Her national profile, early leads in some 2028 Democratic nomination prediction markets, and visible campaign activity ahead of the 2026 midterms support the higher implied probability for a presidential announcement. A Senate primary would require navigating New York Democratic dynamics and Schumer's incumbency, while neither outcome remains discounted given her current congressional focus and lack of formal declarations. Upcoming midterm results and any further statements on timing could influence these assessments before 2028.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于AOC是否会在2028年之前宣布参议院或总统竞选？
AOC是否会在2028年之前宣布参议院或总统竞选？
总统 58%
参议院 34%
都不是 9%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
总统
58%
参议院
34%
都不是
9%
总统 58%
参议院 34%
都不是 9%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
总统
$151 交易量
58%
参议院
$472 交易量
34%
都不是
$331 交易量
9%
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent comments from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on ABC's This Week, where she stated she has not ruled out either a 2028 presidential bid or a challenge to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, have reinforced trader positioning. Her national profile, early leads in some 2028 Democratic nomination prediction markets, and visible campaign activity ahead of the 2026 midterms support the higher implied probability for a presidential announcement. A Senate primary would require navigating New York Democratic dynamics and Schumer's incumbency, while neither outcome remains discounted given her current congressional focus and lack of formal declarations. Upcoming midterm results and any further statements on timing could influence these assessments before 2028.
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
交易量
$954结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent comments from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on ABC's This Week, where she stated she has not ruled out either a 2028 presidential bid or a challenge to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, have reinforced trader positioning. Her national profile, early leads in some 2028 Democratic nomination prediction markets, and visible campaign activity ahead of the 2026 midterms support the higher implied probability for a presidential announcement. A Senate primary would require navigating New York Democratic dynamics and Schumer's incumbency, while neither outcome remains discounted given her current congressional focus and lack of formal declarations. Upcoming midterm results and any further statements on timing could influence these assessments before 2028.
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$954结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent comments from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on ABC's This Week, where she stated she has not ruled out either a 2028 presidential bid or a challenge to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, have reinforced trader positioning. Her national profile, early leads in some 2028 Democratic nomination prediction markets, and visible campaign activity ahead of the 2026 midterms support the higher implied probability for a presidential announcement. A Senate primary would require navigating New York Democratic dynamics and Schumer's incumbency, while neither outcome remains discounted given her current congressional focus and lack of formal declarations. Upcoming midterm results and any further statements on timing could influence these assessments before 2028.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题