Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven primarily by recent supply chain affirmations that the device—rumored as iPhone Ultra or Fold—remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg and MacRumors reports from early April 2026 dismissed production delay fears, confirming mass production shifts from June to August won't derail the timeline, while fresh May leaks detail a crease-free display via dual ultra-thin glass, liquid-metal hinge, and enhanced repairability. Competitive pressure from Samsung's foldables and Apple's years-long development bolster optimism, though limited initial supply and historical launch slips pose minor risks ahead of the fall event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$161,160 交易量
$161,160 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$161,160 交易量
$161,160 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven primarily by recent supply chain affirmations that the device—rumored as iPhone Ultra or Fold—remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg and MacRumors reports from early April 2026 dismissed production delay fears, confirming mass production shifts from June to August won't derail the timeline, while fresh May leaks detail a crease-free display via dual ultra-thin glass, liquid-metal hinge, and enhanced repairability. Competitive pressure from Samsung's foldables and Apple's years-long development bolster optimism, though limited initial supply and historical launch slips pose minor risks ahead of the fall event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
交易量
$161,160结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven primarily by recent supply chain affirmations that the device—rumored as iPhone Ultra or Fold—remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg and MacRumors reports from early April 2026 dismissed production delay fears, confirming mass production shifts from June to August won't derail the timeline, while fresh May leaks detail a crease-free display via dual ultra-thin glass, liquid-metal hinge, and enhanced repairability. Competitive pressure from Samsung's foldables and Apple's years-long development bolster optimism, though limited initial supply and historical launch slips pose minor risks ahead of the fall event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$161,160结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84.5% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven primarily by recent supply chain affirmations that the device—rumored as iPhone Ultra or Fold—remains on track for a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Bloomberg and MacRumors reports from early April 2026 dismissed production delay fears, confirming mass production shifts from June to August won't derail the timeline, while fresh May leaks detail a crease-free display via dual ultra-thin glass, liquid-metal hinge, and enhanced repairability. Competitive pressure from Samsung's foldables and Apple's years-long development bolster optimism, though limited initial supply and historical launch slips pose minor risks ahead of the fall event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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