Recent credible reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain analysts have solidified trader expectations for Apple’s first touchscreen MacBook Pro or Ultra, pairing an OLED display and Dynamic Island interface with M5 Pro and M5 Max chips for a potential late-2026 debut. macOS 27 betas already include touch-friendly refinements such as enlarged controls and Sidecar optimizations, reinforcing the timeline while Apple skips planned M6 high-end silicon to accelerate the redesign. The narrow 54% implied probability reflects lingering uncertainty over whether supply constraints or the revised chip roadmap will push mass production and availability into early 2027 instead. Fall product announcements or further software leaks could quickly shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
61% 概率
$50,280 交易量
$50,280 交易量
2026-12-30
是
61% 概率
$50,280 交易量
$50,280 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent credible reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain analysts have solidified trader expectations for Apple’s first touchscreen MacBook Pro or Ultra, pairing an OLED display and Dynamic Island interface with M5 Pro and M5 Max chips for a potential late-2026 debut. macOS 27 betas already include touch-friendly refinements such as enlarged controls and Sidecar optimizations, reinforcing the timeline while Apple skips planned M6 high-end silicon to accelerate the redesign. The narrow 54% implied probability reflects lingering uncertainty over whether supply constraints or the revised chip roadmap will push mass production and availability into early 2027 instead. Fall product announcements or further software leaks could quickly shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
交易量
$50,280结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent credible reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain analysts have solidified trader expectations for Apple’s first touchscreen MacBook Pro or Ultra, pairing an OLED display and Dynamic Island interface with M5 Pro and M5 Max chips for a potential late-2026 debut. macOS 27 betas already include touch-friendly refinements such as enlarged controls and Sidecar optimizations, reinforcing the timeline while Apple skips planned M6 high-end silicon to accelerate the redesign. The narrow 54% implied probability reflects lingering uncertainty over whether supply constraints or the revised chip roadmap will push mass production and availability into early 2027 instead. Fall product announcements or further software leaks could quickly shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$50,280结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent credible reports from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain analysts have solidified trader expectations for Apple’s first touchscreen MacBook Pro or Ultra, pairing an OLED display and Dynamic Island interface with M5 Pro and M5 Max chips for a potential late-2026 debut. macOS 27 betas already include touch-friendly refinements such as enlarged controls and Sidecar optimizations, reinforcing the timeline while Apple skips planned M6 high-end silicon to accelerate the redesign. The narrow 54% implied probability reflects lingering uncertainty over whether supply constraints or the revised chip roadmap will push mass production and availability into early 2027 instead. Fall product announcements or further software leaks could quickly shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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