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Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

icon for Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

8% 概率
Polymarket
最新
8% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's MacBook Neo, launched in March 2026 as the company's most affordable laptop at $599 with a binned A18 Pro chip, a 13-inch Liquid Retina display, and Apple Intelligence features, continues to drive strong trader consensus at 91% against discontinuation. Surging demand has sold out base models through May, prompting Apple to plan 10 million units—double initial targets—despite exhausting leftover iPhone chips and facing rising DRAM costs. This skin-in-the-game optimism stems from critical acclaim, commercial success attracting new users, and Apple's history of iterating budget hardware rather than axing hits. Realistic challenges include sustained chip shortages forcing margin squeezes or base-model cuts, with Q2 earnings or supply chain updates as key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$552
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's MacBook Neo, launched in March 2026 as the company's most affordable laptop at $599 with a binned A18 Pro chip, a 13-inch Liquid Retina display, and Apple Intelligence features, continues to drive strong trader consensus at 91% against discontinuation. Surging demand has sold out base models through May, prompting Apple to plan 10 million units—double initial targets—despite exhausting leftover iPhone chips and facing rising DRAM costs. This skin-in-the-game optimism stems from critical acclaim, commercial success attracting new users, and Apple's history of iterating budget hardware rather than axing hits. Realistic challenges include sustained chip shortages forcing margin squeezes or base-model cuts, with Q2 earnings or supply chain updates as key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$552
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 8%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 8¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 8%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 13, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?"的当前概率为 8%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 8%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。