Banksy’s consistent output in 2025 and early 2026 underpins the strong 83.5% market-implied odds for a new mural or street artwork by year-end. Confirmed pieces include multiple London murals in December 2025 featuring stargazing children and a May 2026 public statue in Waterloo Place depicting a flag-obscured figure, both verified via the artist’s Instagram. These align with Banksy’s established pattern of sporadic yet frequent public interventions, often timed around holidays, political moments, or urban sites. With roughly five months remaining, traders view another release as highly probable absent any reported slowdown or retirement signals. Key upcoming catalysts include potential end-of-year timing and ongoing cultural or political events that typically prompt new work.